Suggestion: Spellbound Détective Noir at 180–220 keys

Price Suggestion

~1725 keys

spellbnd

37 votes up

10 votes down

Related Suggestions

This suggestion was accepted Sat, 05 Jan 19 19:44:57 +0000 by polar.

Comments can no longer be left on this suggestion.

Comments

3 recent sales within the past 3 months.

Sale 1 - https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198093867136#!/compare/1540944000/1541203200

Sold for Scorching Phantom (144) + PE Panama (35.5), both in-date = 179.5

Rounding to 180.

Sale 2 - https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198084126218#!/compare/1542412800/1542499200

Sold with 50 pure for a clean Secret Phantom (225), Phantom outdated.

Sale would be better used to price Secret Phantom (current suggestion for it became invalidated, needs a resuggestion).

Sale 3 - https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198084126218#!/compare/1542585600/1542672000

Sold for SBTWC Cold Killer(115) + 105 pure, unusual in-date. My B/O, while I got no screenshot, was 220 exactly.

= 220

In total, 2 sales will be used: 180, 220

Final price: 180-220

although the actual suggestion on the panama may be in-date, the sales used in it are all out of date except for 2.

sale 1)

https://marketplace.tf/items/109;5;u10

$70.00 marketplace.tf

https://manic.tf/keyprice/?at=2018-10-23

$70.00 / $1.78 = 39.33 keys = 39 keys

sale 2)

Sold for 37 keys

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198073438708#!/compare/1540684800/1540771200

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198072140772#!/compare/1540684800/1540771200

taking 37 keys

that would give a range of 37-39 or 38 keys as a median for the range.

however, with the 1 month unsold at 34 that price is unusable.

you're going to have to find a new mini for the panama.

Alright. First time doing a mini, and sale searching of this magnitude, any input's appreciated since I'm not experienced with suggestion making, found as many usable sales as I could (since I don't use premium I relied on digging through past suggestions, so feel free to point out any usable sales I missed):

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198215130228#!/compare/1544745600/1544832000 GGJr Plumbers (sugg. at 28.5) + 3 keys = 31.5

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198189960814#!/compare/1544659200/1544745600 31 keys + few ref sweets

https://marketplace.tf/items/109;5;u10 Sale on 27th https://manic.tf/keyprice/?at=2018-12-27 $1.79, 59.99/1.79 = 33.51, rounding to 34 (keys were 1.65 on 21st, 59.98/1.65 = 36 keys rounded so 21st sale invalidated by unsold)

Rest of sales I found were unusable/untrace, below buy orders, or countered by unsold. Question is, should I use a mini of 31-34, with 31 and 31.5 at low end, and the mp.tf sale and unsold at 34? Not 100% sure unsolds can support part of a range, and 31 is pretty close to buy orders. I'll also watch the 32.5 seller.

I'd just use 34 considering mp.tf sellers.

Got it. Since the Phantom(144) and the PE Panama(34) using the mini equals 178, I'll still round to 180 and keep this suggestion as is.

Panama does not need a new mini. Price on that wouldn't change more than a few keys one way or the other. A few keys makes no difference on a 200 key hat. As long as it meets the rules and is recently updated, no reason to micromanage. Suggestions are hard enough as it is. Let's not make them more challenging than they need to be.