Item Snapshot made Fri, 28 Dec 18 15:16:22 +0000
Classifieds
13.35 keys
Strange Festive Rocket Launcher 1 Found in Crate 7320755223 647063866
13.33 keys
Strange Festive Rocket Launcher 1 Found in Crate 7323554922 633352182
14 keys
Strange Festive Rocket Launcher 1 Found in Crate 7241372994 613775222
14 keys
Strange Festive Rocket Launcher 1 Found in Crate spells 7378367963 622913441
12 keys
Strange Festive Rocket Launcher 1 Found in Crate 7402278175 639573474
15 keys
Strange Festive Rocket Launcher 1 Found in Crate spells 7424541554 616226889
13 keys
Strange Festive Rocket Launcher 1 Found in Crate 6572046232 610067714
13.5 keys
Strange Festive Rocket Launcher 1 Found in Crate 7436848841 609804537
6.41 keys
Strange Festive Rocket Launcher
9.14 keys
Strange Festive Rocket Launcher
7.13 keys
Strange Festive Rocket Launcher
9.12 keys
Strange Festive Rocket Launcher
9.15 keys
Strange Festive Rocket Launcher
9.16 keys
Strange Festive Rocket Launcher
9.16 keys
Strange Festive Rocket Launcher
9.16 keys
Strange Festive Rocket Launcher
9.16 keys
Strange Festive Rocket Launcher
9.16 keys
Strange Festive Rocket Launcher
bot.tf
No KS: https://bot.tf/stats/item?def=669&q=11&ef=&craft=1&aus=0&ks=0
Normal KS: https://bot.tf/stats/item?def=658&q=11&ef=&craft=1&aus=0&ks=1
Spec KS: https://bot.tf/stats/item?def=658&q=11&ef=&craft=1&aus=0&ks=2
No sales in past 14 days.
Current classifieds buyers:
22 @ 9.2 keys (all unsuccessful, and for some reason no KS has the highest buyers)
Cheapest sellers @ 11.4 keys (Normal KS)
keys at 47.66 ref: https://backpack.tf/stats/Unique/Mann%20Co.%20Supply%20Crate%20Key/Tradable/Craftable
SCM
No KS: https://steamcommunity.com/market/listings/440/Strange%20Festive%20Rocket%20Launcher
Normal KS: https://steamcommunity.com/market/listings/440/Strange%20Killstreak%20Festive%20Rocket%20Launcher
Spec KS: https://steamcommunity.com/market/listings/440/Strange%20Specialized%20Killstreak%20Festive%20Rocket%20Launcher
Sales / key price in past 14 days (in SGD):
No KS
Dec 17 - 29.90 / 3.02 = 9.9
Dec 22 - 30.70 / 2.83 = 10.8
Dec 22 - 31.93 / 2.84 = 11.2
Dec 23 - 31.09 / 2.88 = 10.8
Dec 25 - 28.45 / 2.93 = 9.7
Dec 27 - 31.45 / 2.97 = 10.6
Dec 28 - 30.98 / 3.00 = 10.3
Dec 28 - 30.98 / 3.00 = 10.3
3 Normal KS sales - 1 low outlier 7.3 keys, other 2 above 11 keys - ignoring.
Spec KS
Dec 23 - 27.07 / 2.92 = 9.3
Dec 24 - 31.11 / 2.93 = 10.6
Dec 24 - 26.80 / 2.93 = 9.1 (outlier)
Dec 25 - 30.90 / 2.93 = 10.5
Dec 26 - 31.00 / 2.96 = 10.5
4 sales above 11 keys.
No KS should cap at 10.5 looking at Spec KS sales (median 10.6), where one might as well get Spec KS if spending more than that.
Current buyers:
2 @ 9.4 keys
1 @ 9.0 keys
Cheapest seller @ 11.2 keys (Normal KS).
marketplace.tf
No KS: https://marketplace.tf/items/658;11/
Normal KS: https://marketplace.tf/items/658;11;kt-1
Spec KS: https://marketplace.tf/items/658;11;kt-2
Sales / key price in past 14 days (in USD):
No KS
Dec 19 - 18.00 / 1.65 = 10.9
Dec 20 - 18.47 / 1.65 = 11.2
Dec 20 - 18.47 / 1.65 = 11.2
Dec 21 - 20.00 / 1.65 = 12.1 (outlier)
Normal KS and Spec KS sales above 12 keys - ignoring.
Cheapest seller @ $21.71 / 12.1 keys (Spec KS)
Highest buyer @ $14.34 / 8.0 keys (no KS)
marketplace sales are generally high and will be ignored as they generally can be found cheaper as seen above.
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https://prnt.sc/m0nd3u my own sale for 9 keys, countered by buyers
Taking into account buyers, SCM sales, and generally staying conservative, choosing 9.3 - 10.3 as the range here. Should there be future sales there can be an update.