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https://marketplace.tf/items/30658;5;u35
https://backpack.tf/item/7361436441 <-- Prolly Dec 17 sale
https://backpack.tf/item/6923206639 <-- Dec 27 or Dec 28 sale
Sales at 15, 20, 21
Sale at 15 happened on Dec 28 what means that on Dec 27 there wasn't this listing (or it was listed after someone had bought one for 20 keys). So 15 must've sold in 1 day, means quicksale
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198041108750#!/compare/1544486400/1544572800
17 keys
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198262258500#!/compare/1544572800/1544745600
Nothing matches
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198045730256#!/compare/1544313600/1544572800
16 keys, IDs match
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198337734785#!/compare/1545868800/1545955200
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198119149660#!/compare/1545868800/1545955200
Looks like nothing matches
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198203221120#!/compare/1541116800/1541203200
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198371168595#!/compare/1540684800/1541203200
Using there
Creds Shuffle for these:
Sold for a Blizzardy Storm Hermes + 2 Keys = will fit
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198182795337#!/compare/1543363200/1543449600
Sold for a Voltaic Hat Protector Universal Translator (15) + 2 Keys + CAPPER (~2 Keys) = 19 keys
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198159252325#!/compare/1543449600/1543536000
Current sellers/buyers:
https://imgur.com/Wq5dOue
Sales we got:
15, 16, 17, 19, 20, 21
Taking current sellers, I'd personally exclude 20 and 21 keys sales
15 was quicksale
16 and 17 and 19 sales left so that's our range
Woah, I almost forgot how to do these-Sale 2 matches a bit; it's bulk of some sorts: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198801119167#!/compare/1544486400/1544572800
-Can safely ignore one of them, based on these names and the dates this one was probably gambled: https://i.gyazo.com/2f10d3db6243c08b78419f1a0843c1a0.png
-Sold with 5 keys for a showstopper kazot, fine excluding 'cause taunts unstable: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198075510510#!/compare/1540598400/1540684800 https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198341018339#!/compare/1540684800/1540771200
All in all nothing to really counter your 15 sale but this should be close enough anyway.