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Spooky Night Conga
Cloudy Moon for taunts. Awesome.
Using last 2 months.
Leaving out the invalids to shorten the list of sales.
New price: 30-40 keys
Proof:
Sale #1 (2 months) = 50
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198115721685#!/compare/1542240000/1542326400
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198123378599#!/compare/1542326400/1542412800
Sold for 50 keys.
Sale #2 (2 months) = <21
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198095231098#!/compare/1542326400/1542412800
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198355667850#!/compare/1542326400/1542412800
Sold for a spooky night balloonibouncer + 17 keys. Ballooni has an unsold at 14, so this is 21 at best, which is below buyers.
Sale #3 (2 months) = 30
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198059345805#!/compare/1541894400/1542412800
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198361129578#!/compare/1542326400/1542412800
Sold for 30 keys.
Sale #4 (1 month) = 33
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198097865704#!/compare/1542931200/1543017600
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198168863803#!/compare/1542844800/1542931200
Sold for 33 keys.
Sale #5 (1 month) = 36
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198113188320#!/compare/1543622400/1543708800
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198836967499#!/compare/1543708800/1543795200
Sold for 36.
Sale #6 (2 months) = 31
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198046590241#!/compare/1542153600/1542240000
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198021055079#!/compare/1542067200/1542153600
Sold for 31 keys 12 ref. Rounding to 31.
Marketplace.tf sales:
https://marketplace.tf/items/1118;5;u3021
Using http://manic.tf/keyprice/
Sale #1 (1 month) Sold for 79.99$ = ~46 keys
Sale #2 (1 month) Sold for 67.28$ = ~39 keys
Sale #3 (3 weeks) Sold for 37.50$ = ~23 keys
Sale #4 (3 weeks) Sold for 68.43$ = ~42 keys
Sale #5 (2 weeks) Sold for 37.64$ = ~21 keys
Sale #6 (fresh) Sold for 66.62$ = ~38 keys
Classies:
https://imgur.com/a/RExeCZB
Sellers at 40 and 41.
Buyers at 29-25.
_________________________________________________________
SUMMARY
Sales:
<21 x121 x1
23 x1
30 x1
31 x1
33 x1
36 x1
38 x1
39 x1
42 x1
46 x150 x1
21-23 below buyers.
4 sellers at ~40, so 46 and 50 seem high. Excluding.
42 was a mp.tf sale and is slightly above the existing sellers.
All in all 30-40 would probably be a better range than 30-42, so i'll go with that.
Going with 30-40 keys.
Feel free to add proof to support or counter my new price.
New mp sale at 77.76$ = ~44 keys.
High outlier. Sellers counter it.