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~51 keys
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Unusual Shooter's Sola Topi Burning Flames
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Burning Flames Shooter's Sola Topi

Excluding dupes as this will be above 30.


New price: 33-36 keys


Proof:


Sale #1 (1 month) = 36

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198079488962#!/compare/1544400000/1544659200

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198110254941#!/compare/1544572800/1544659200

Sold for an isotope shotgun (36). Mini below.


Sale #2 (3 weeks) = 34

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198832639251#!/compare/1545004800/1545091200

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198145092459#!/compare/1544918400/1545004800

Sold for 34 keys.


Sale #3 (3 weeks) = invalid

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198145092459#!/compare/1545004800/1545177600

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198832639251#!/compare/1545091200/1545177600

Buyers side shows 24 keys and some ref. This is a bot.tf sale. Sale was 30 keys 5 ref. Was a quicksale, so excluding anyways.


Sale #4 (2 weeks) = 34

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198832639251#!/compare/1545523200/1545609600

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198300826003#!/compare/1545609600/1545696000

Sold for 34 keys.


Sale #5 (2 weeks) = invalid

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198300826003#!/compare/1545696000/1546300800

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198002757046#!/compare/1545609600/1545696000

Bulk.


Sale #6 (3 months) = invalid

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198141054773#!/compare/1539648000/1539734400

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561197960278017#!/compare/1535068800/1539648000

Looks like 45 keys, but histories aren't right and it'd be a high outlier.


Sale #7 (2 months) = 31

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198093899544#!/compare/1541462400/1541548800

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198057440021#!/compare/1541462400/1541548800

Sold for aussies / stranges worth ~31 keys.


Sale #8 (2 months) = invalid

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198057440021#!/compare/1541721600/1541980800

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198257377051#!/compare/1541548800/1544140800

Sold for a c9 slouch. Unsold at 30, which makes this below buyers. Excluding.


Sale #9 (1 month) = 30

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198257377051#!/compare/1544140800/1546560000

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561197963500354#!/compare/1544054400/1544140800

Sold for 30 keys.


Sale #10 (1 month) = 32

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561197963500354#!/compare/1544140800/1544227200

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198000472919#!/compare/1544140800/1544227200

Sold for 32 keys.


Sale #11 (fresh) = 33

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198002757046#!/compare/1546732800/1546819200

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198137566942#!/compare/1546732800/1546819200

I bought one for 33 keys.


bot.tf sales:

https://bot.tf/stats/item?def=158&q=5&ef=Burning+Flames&craft=1&aus=0&ks=0

https://imgur.com/a/OQ9rt92

Didn't realize Aoko was a bot, sales are above.

Sale at dec 7th is duped.


Marketplace.tf sales:

https://marketplace.tf/items/158;5;u13

Using http://manic.tf/keyprice/

Sale #1 (2 months) Sold for 63.99$ = ~36

Sale #2 (1 month) Sold for 65.00$ = ~38


Classies:

https://imgur.com/a/pwfnEUJ

Seller at 33. Unsold at 50.

Buyers at 30.

_________________________________________________________


Minis


isotope shotgun

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198080179568#!/compare/1540857600/1540944000

Sold for 36 keys.

Going with 36 keys.

_________________________________________________________


SUMMARY


Sales:

30 x1

31 x1

32 x1

33 x1

34 x2

36 x2

38 x1


30 countered by buyers.

31 close to buyers.

32 kinda close to buyers, sold within 2 days.

38 is a high outlier.


Going with 33-36 keys.


Feel free to add proof to support or counter my new price.

    The australium sale is actually more like 36ish if we take the lowest seller for each item. Also worth noting that the 32 key sale sold within a day. So with the sales at 31 and 32 being invalid, the low end seems fine here.