Suggestion: Haunted Ghosts Team Captain at 145–190 keys

Sold for sunbeams caribou (162.5) + a hearts hwnn (70) + a ge truckers (33) + an aces ninja hood (24) + a kill a watt (16) and a planets worst nightmare (13) + a miami nights triboniophorus tyrannus (17.5) + steaming headsplitter (20.5) + a strange spec ks amby (~4) + 19 keys = 379.5. Rounding to 380. Minis below. No sales on the ninja hood, taking 5 month old price.

Sale #6 (3 months) = invalid

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198079821428#!/compare/1540339200/1540425600

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198043566764#!/compare/1540252800/1540425600

Bulk.

Sale #7 (3 months) = invalid

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198043566764#!/compare/1540598400/1540684800

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198054198170#!/compare/1540598400/1540684800

Bulk.

Sale #8 (2 months) = 183

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198054198170#!/compare/1542067200/1542153600

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198252610884#!/compare/1541980800/1542153600

Sold with a cool medi gun (40) for miami nights antlers (222.5) = 182.5. Rounding 183. Minis below.

Sale #9 (2 months) = invalid

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198252610884#!/compare/1542931200/1543017600

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198080672856#!/compare/1542931200/1543017600

Sold for a sunbeams caribou + an isotope scattergun. No sales on the scattergun.

Sale #10 (1 month) = 188

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198182213262#!/compare/1543622400/1543708800

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198235861606#!/compare/1543622400/1543708800

Sold with 5 keys for a sunbeams tyrants (115) + a duped hearts belt (72.5) = 187.5. Rounding 188. Minis below.

Sale #11 (2 weeks) = invalid

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198052793694#!/compare/1546128000/1546214400

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198125791160#!/compare/1546041600/1546128000

Sold with a vicious circle vampire for a brain drain defragmenting hard hat. Better used there.

Marketplace.tf sales:

https://marketplace.tf/items/378;5;u8

Using http://manic.tf/keyprice/

Sale #1 (3 weeks) Sold for 240.00$ = ~145 keys

Sale #2 (3 weeks) Sold for 161.20$ = ~90 keys

Classies:

https://imgur.com/a/MXfjWTg

Sellers at 100, 109 and 175.

Buyers start at 84.

_________________________________________________________

Minis

pe hwnn

https://backpack.tf/suggestion/5c34179544325a0a854b3b48

Going with 80-114 keys. Averages at 97.

miami nights tyrannus

Unsold at 20 for two months, buyers at 15. Taking 16-19

Going with 16-19 keys. Averages at 17.5.

kill a watt worst nightsmare

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198050933686#!/compare/1544745600/1544832000

Sold for 16 keys.

Only sale.

Going with 16 keys.

kill a watt worst nightsmare

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198341171690#!/compare/1546560000/1546646400

Sold for 13 keys.

Only sale.

Going with 13 keys.

steaming headsplitter

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198090457223#!/compare/1540252800/1540339200

Sold for 21 keys 32 ref.

https://marketplace.tf/items/291;5;u36

Only non quicksell at 33.84$ = ~19 keys.

Going with 19-22 keys. Averages at 20.5.

sunbeams caribou

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198160120451#!/compare/1545436800/1545609600

Sold for 71 keys 5 ref and resold for 73 keys.

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198163812778#!/compare/1539129600/1539475200

Sold along a terror watt tundra top (24) and 5 keys for a scorching reggaelator (180) = 151.

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198055622215#!/compare/1540512000/1540598400

Sold for a pe ninja hood (91.5) + 85 keys = 176.5.

---------------------------------------------------

Macro:

pe ninja hood:

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198162995464#!/compare/1544745600/1544832000

Sold for a ge anger (90).

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198073398425#!/compare/1539302400/1539475200

Sold for 90 keys + 3 ref sweets.

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198220198628#!/compare/1540080000/1540166400

Sold for a darkblaze hive minder (93).

Going with 90-93. Averages at 91.5.

---------------------------------------------------

71 and 73 are close to buyers.

Going with 150-175 keys. Averages 162.5.

cool medi gun

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198252610884#!/compare/1542326400/1542412800

Sold for a dbd ubersternmann (39.5)

Going with 40 keys.

miami nights antlers

https://backpack.tf/suggestion/5c310209cf6c7549b07b72b9

Going with 195-250. Averages at 222.5.

sunbeams tyrants

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198124615050#!/compare/1544227200/1544313600

Sold for a roboactive lucky shot (90) + 29 keys + ~12 ref sweets = ~119.

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198011321852#!/compare/1544140800/1544227200

Sold for 110 keys.

Going with 110-120 keys. Averages at 115.

duped hearts belt

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198182213262#!/compare/1543708800/1543795200

Sold for 75 keys.

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198114402400#!/compare/1543449600/1543536000

Sold for 70 keys.

Going with 70-75 keys. Averages at 72.5.

_________________________________________________________

SUMMARY

Sales:

~~90 x1~~

~~97 x1~~

145 x1

151 x1

183 x2

188 x1

~~380 x1~~

90 almost certainly went to a buy order.

97 is a low outlier.

Holy f*cking shit. 380 is literally the absolute definition of a super high outlier. HOLY SHIT.

Sellers would suggest the sale at 183+ are all high, but that'd be too many high sales excluded.

Rounding 188 to 190.

Going with 145-190 keys.

Feel free to add proof to support or counter my new price.

New sale:

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198041108750#!/compare/1547424000/1547510400

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198137566942#!/compare/1547424000/1547510400

Bought one for 100 keys.

Sold within a day after it's been listed, so i'm calling this a low outlier.

https://imgur.com/a/2u2e0Qh

https://backpack.tf/item/5060098845 the 380 sale misses this, which is why that seems to unrealisticly high :P

is that sale even usable here or should it be used on the crones? Crones is higher value.

No, it most definitely shouldn't be used here (or anywhere really, but if used, not here).

Just wanted to point out/clarify since that sale is so out of the ordinary here :P

i guess you dont want me to use it anywhere, because the minis are inaccurate? I'm making a sugg for the crones right now.

I'm not gonna use that sale to set a low or high end, but maybe it can be used to support whatever it turns out ot be.

As supportive it can definitely serve, yeah.

Main reason Im not a fan of using it is because its a relatively complex deal where multiple hats sold for multiple hats. I suppose the crones'd amount for a chunk large enough at its side to be considered the main component, though