TBH, it is irrational to price the item based off bots. Especially this one, since the bots accept 1-use duels, which HUMANS normally at this price wouldn´t. And you can´t distinguish the 1-use and 5-uses mini-games trades. And trust me, majority is the 1-use ones.
While I do agree that most of the listings of bots are 1-use ones, it doesn't change the fact that it got sold much often around the suggested price range which means that people/bot still buy and sell them at 0.33-0.44 ref instead of human listings
What about those 2 mass buyers, who claim to buy 1000s/as many as possible for 0.55 ? :p
I'd say these are quite extreme value and excluded them as all bots are buying at that amount with a much bigger sales
Still, looking at mp.tf sales, it doesn't seem that much of an extreme value, seeing how 153 duels sold for 0.04 $ average in the last 2 days, which would be the equivalent of 1 ref.Your average daily bot trades are ~100 per day, so it's not that far off in sales numbers.
You cannot just count these recent 2 days when pricing common trade items. When you look at the history of the Dueling Minigame on bot.tf, there are over 3 months of 0.01-0.02 before. So, it should be count as an extreme value of these 2 days.
Yeah, I was about to remove the post, since I couldn´t yestreday (some kind of error). It is pretty hard to have any sales at any price, since most stuff in bots is 1-use.
As @Ying | Non-sense said, these should be taken as extremes. Especially mine, since I need like 50 duel wins to be 1st in the global leaderboard (that´s at least reasoning in my "extreme" trade listing).
This is clearly accurate at the moment. If it changes, it can be resuggested.
Bot.tf Sales in 30 days: https://bot.tf/stats/item?def=241&q=6&ef=&craft=1&aus=0&ks=0
Bought: 2,980 @0.33 ref
Sold: 2,402 @0.44 ref
TBH, it is irrational to price the item based off bots. Especially this one, since the bots accept 1-use duels, which HUMANS normally at this price wouldn´t. And you can´t distinguish the 1-use and 5-uses mini-games trades. And trust me, majority is the 1-use ones.
While I do agree that most of the listings of bots are 1-use ones, it doesn't change the fact that it got sold much often around the suggested price range which means that people/bot still buy and sell them at 0.33-0.44 ref instead of human listings
What about those 2 mass buyers, who claim to buy 1000s/as many as possible for 0.55 ? :p
I'd say these are quite extreme value and excluded them as all bots are buying at that amount with a much bigger sales
Still, looking at mp.tf sales, it doesn't seem that much of an extreme value, seeing how 153 duels sold for 0.04 $ average in the last 2 days, which would be the equivalent of 1 ref.Your average daily bot trades are ~100 per day, so it's not that far off in sales numbers.
You cannot just count these recent 2 days when pricing common trade items. When you look at the history of the Dueling Minigame on bot.tf, there are over 3 months of 0.01-0.02 before. So, it should be count as an extreme value of these 2 days.
As @Ying | Non-sense said, these should be taken as extremes. Especially mine, since I need like 50 duel wins to be 1st in the global leaderboard (that´s at least reasoning in my "extreme" trade listing).
This is clearly accurate at the moment. If it changes, it can be resuggested.