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1 of 2 hat, recently bought, given how rare and old the previous suggestion was, thought I would try to update it.
Traded for 150 keys + 25 Unlocked Winter 2016 Cosmetic Cases on November 10th 2018.
1.73 per key on marketplace.tf.
25 Winter 2016 Cases at $2.48/case on Marketplace.tf = $62 = 35.8 keys rounded up to 36 keys.
150+36 keys = 186 keys
Screenshot of Trade History:
https://imgur.com/a/KqYeSUw
I am also a collector, don't plan on selling, haven't sold in last 2 months, won't sell in next 3 months - 3 years either, so this will likely be the only sale in the next year.
The other hat of this 1 of 2 hasn't sold in 4 years since 2014 December.
https://backpack.tf/item/1238747004
"https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198055622215#!/compare/1541721600/1541808000 - this went 1:1 for a beams ballcap which is updated at 140
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198055622215#!/compare/1541635200/1541721600 - prior to that it sold for some outdated hats that are massively inflated
And prior to that it was in scrap.tf bot.
A range of 140-186 is will work here. Please resuggest." ~Polar
As Per Polar in last suggestion.