Suggestion: Scorching Flames Ground Control at 100–105 keys

Price Suggestion

~145 keys

scorch

73 votes up

3 votes down

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This suggestion was closed Tue, 19 Feb 19 14:31:28 +0000 by the submitter.

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Comments

Another sale appears

Sale 1: Untrace

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198095022965#!/compare/1542326400/1542412800 https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198058569038#!/compare/1542326400/1542412800

Sale 2: Cmoon Frenchman + Beams Swagman (use on the beret)

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198058569038#!/compare/1543017600/1543104000

Sale 3: Ama Vive (use there)

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198000247762#!/compare/1544140800/1544400000

https://backpack.tf/suggestion/5c16c276cf6c756e422ec1fd

Sale 4: Went w/ 14 mix for Arcana Bonk (indate 115) | 101k

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198804015732#!/compare/1544313600/1544400000 https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198072355915#!/compare/1544400000/1544486400

https://backpack.tf/suggestion/5c16c276cf6c756e422ec1fd

Sale 5: HG Rack (indate 135) + Cool ProK Forest Flame FT (indate 30) + 5k | 170 (high outlier in light of other sales)

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198095022965#!/compare/1542585600/1542672000 https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198269408400#!/compare/1542499200/1542672000

Sale 6: Went w/ 16k & ST Disciplinary (4k) for a KaW antlers (160) | 140 (high in light of other sales)

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198046921199#!/compare/1542499200/1542672000 https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198095022965#!/compare/1542585600/1542672000

Sale 7: 100k (2 unus didnt go with it on buyers side, manually counted)

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198105071091#!/compare/1543795200/1543881600 https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198046921199#!/compare/1543795200/1543881600

Sale 8: 105k

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198804015732#!/compare/1548201600/1548288000

100-105

Sold at burning le party phantom (140) and keys (7) - 147 - another high. this cant be ignored :)

https://prnt.sc/mm3yxi his b/o was 140

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561197993834789#!/compare/1549929600/1550275200

https://marketplace.tf/items/337;5;u13

mancer sold 2/14 $229.95 / 1.8 = 127.7 > 128k so sale was 135.

140 goes out in 2 days, and 170 goes out in 3, that leaves the ama vive as the only high sale (and its used there)

so the remaining sales are 100, 101, 105 and 135. 135 is clearly the outlier, range stays the same until a mod replies.

The amount of higher sales is stacking though. The vive is higher too now.

Last suggestion revealed that 105 sold within hours, and one of your 100 sales was someone dumping it to buy a pan. The bonk sale - at the time - felt more like an outlier for both.

In all likeliness, the beret sale will be higher than this, the vive sale is higher. There are 2 other sales here at 140 and 170 and the new sale supports my original theory that this'd be too harsh as well.

If we look at the bigger picture here, we have sales at

100

101

105

135

140

140ish (amavive)

170

Seeing how the low sales have a reasonable indication they're on the low side, I do believe a conservative approach is more appropriate here. With the sales as I see them here I'd probably go 135-140 with 170 as high outlier.