Suggestion: Burning Flames Polar Bear at 44–50 keys - backpack.tf

Price Suggestion

~56 keys

burning

181 votes up

33 votes down

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This suggestion was closed Tue, 26 Feb 19 14:10:51 +0000 by the submitter.

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Sale 1-3:

https://marketplace.tf/items/30964;5;u13

$76 / $1.72 = 44.19 keys

$50 / $1.71 = 29.24 keys [ under buyers: https://imgur.com/a/NEObsPq ]

$75 / $1.7 = 44.12 keys

Sale 4:

50 keys

Sold for Beams Big Chief(45.5) + Mega Strike Party Trick(4.75)

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198192602363#!/compare/1545004800/1545091200

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198055675650#!/compare/1545004800/1545436800

Party trick:

4.5-5 keys

https://marketplace.tf/items/1112;5;u3010

$7.99 / $1.8 = 4.44 keys

$7.95 / $1.74 = 4.57 keys

$7.99 / $1.64 = 4.87 keys

$5 / $1.72 = 2.91 keys [ under buyers ]

$7.9 / $1.75 = 4.51 keys

Sale 5:

Bulk for keys

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198072811851#!/compare/1541635200/1542067200

Sale 6:

untrace

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198850918322#!/compare/1541548800/1541635200

Sale 7:

untrace

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198850918322#!/compare/1541635200/1541721600

Sale 8:

untrace

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198337734785#!/compare/1546387200/1546473600

Sale 9:

Untrace but probs that 45 pure, fits in range anyway.

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198337734785#!/compare/1546646400/1546732800

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198172286358#!/compare/1546646400/1546732800

Sale 10:

Under buyers: https://imgur.com/a/NEObsPq

Sold for Purple Confetti Executioner

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198278847781#!/compare/1547424000/1547510400

3 month unsold at 23: https://imgur.com/a/8gIikiq

Sale 11:

No peak mini

Sold with 1 key for steaming peak

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198286758778#!/compare/1547424000/1547510400

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198029425130#!/compare/1547510400/1547596800

=================================================

Peak sales:

Sale 1:

29 pure(QS)

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198113084770#!/compare/1547251200/1547337600

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198286758778#!/compare/1547251200/1547337600

Sale 2:

Burning Polar bear + 1 key

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198286758778#!/compare/1547424000/1547510400

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198029425130#!/compare/1547510400/1547596800

Sale 3:

Bulk

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198123631904#!/compare/1547510400/1547596800

Sale 4:

Bulk

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198021206951#!/compare/1547769600/1547856000

=================================================

Sale 12:

untrace

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198286758778#!/compare/1548201600/1548288000

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198060828964#!/compare/1547942400/1548288000

=================================================

Sales:

44,44,(45?),50

New seller at 35 who probably bought for less than 35

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198172286358#!/compare/1548374400/1548460800

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198305494036#!/compare/1548374400/1548460800

Kinda untrace, probs sold to buy order.

If it sells for 35 it would be an outlier with 4 sales at 44-50

I'm not sure if that's true. Peak sale is most likely less than 44. You point out a sale at 29 but the seller there bought it for even less than 29 from scrap.tf. The ex sale is way less. You also have a 29 mp sale. And the keys on the 45 pure sale don't match at all. The only keys I see match partially are from the 31 keys exchanged.

Based on the data you have provided, sales are actually 23, 28, 29, 44, 44.

Whats wrong with sale 4?

I think I meant 23, 28, 29, 44, and 50

Theres 2 marketplace sales at 44 keys and then the 50 key item sale, other sales are under buyers and now theres 2 sellers at 35.

Would it be better to do 35-50 or 35-44 or something or leave as is?

Will need to be left up for some time for sales. But I'm guessing both those sellers will sell for 35 or less :P

Seller still at 35

One of the seller sold a Burning Flames Polar Bear to me for a Death at Dusk Toy Tailor + Dream of a Garden background. The unusual was bugged and the effect only show up in the " adjust unusual " mode

https://steamcommunity.com/market/listings/753/229580-Dream%20of%20a%20Garden

Not really sure how this would be minid

Not too bad, range of sales in the past month that don't look to have been buy orders is $10.50-17.50, average $12.9 and clustered around there. Buy orders are pretty easy to spot for this one, since they're at or below $7.25. Roughly 4.5-7.5 keys by the standard Backpack reckoning, clustered around 5.5 keys.

Link to the json format list of values instead of the graph for anyone who's into that:

https://steamcommunity.com/market/pricehistory/?currency=3&appid=753&market_hash_name=229580-Dream%20of%20a%20Garden

Assuming the sale above was one of the 35 BOs since he was referred to as such, the taylor sale caps at 35

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198046135610#!/compare/1550102400/1550188800 GE beanie, lower too.

https://backpack.tf/item/6824036523 went through bots and zol; you could check all those sales but I can assure you they'll be lower.

This definitely feels way too high.