Resuggestion, thanks to polar for the info!

Sale 1:

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198176061975#!/compare/1538352000/1538438400

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198095236132#!/compare/1538352000/1538438400

Sold for 10 keys

Sale 2:

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198039731024#!/compare/1544313600/1544400000

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198446606701#!/compare/1544313600/1544400000

Low

Sale 3:

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198446606701#!/compare/1544572800/1544659200

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198111412929#!/compare/1544572800/1544659200

Sold for Orb Motif

Motif Mini:

https://backpack.tf/suggestion/5c247759cf6c7535385192ee

Suggestion for 14.5 keys

Sale 4:

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198111412929#!/compare/1544832000/1544918400

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198225796692#!/compare/1544745600/1544918400

Sold for 11 keys

Polar's Part:

The 10 keys went to a quickbuyer who resold to scrap.tf. And actually the 11 key sale went to someone who also dumped on scrap.tf. It seems like scrap.tf might be paying more?

It looks like scrap, at least for the 10 key sale, buys for 11 keys + some ref.

I would probably feel better about 15 flat here