Suggestion: Vicious Circle Vampire Vanquisher at 20–30 keys

Price Suggestion

~28.5 keys

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37 votes up

30 votes down

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This suggestion was closed Fri, 01 Mar 19 23:37:28 +0000 by the submitter.

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Comments

Marketplace sales:

https://marketplace.tf/items/31003;5;u118/Vicious%20Circle%20Vampire%20Vanquisher

oct 30, $1.75/key, $90 ~51.5 keys

dec 11: $1.65/key, $36.05 ~22 keys

dec 14, $1.64/key, $69.93 ~43 keys

dec 18, $1.64/key. $36 ~22 keys

feb 1, $1.81 key, $36 ~20 keys

sold w/ haunted ghosts team captain (167.5) for Brain Drain Defragmenting Hard Hat 17%

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198052793694#!/compare/1546128000/1546214400

MINI: Open suggestion for Hard Hat at 205 keys: https://backpack.tf/suggestion/5c43bf0944325a333a676abb

205-167.5= 37.5 keys

Quick rundown of sales, in keys

20, 22, 22, 37.5, 43, 51.5

Sales less than 2 months old:

20, 22, 22, 43

Bumped sell listings up for more than 2 weeks:

25 keys: https://backpack.tf/item/7309363552 --up for 2 weeks

30 keys: https://backpack.tf/item/7250537596 --up since last month

Using month old buyout to trim numbers from sales

20, 22, 22

Since the 30 key listing hasn't sold in a MONTH, it's reasonable to say that this hat is 30 keys at most

Now at this point, I'm using these numbers

20, 22, 22, 30

Going with a range of 20-30 keys.

edit: just making it look pretty

So your high-end is based off sellers?

My high end was going to be 43 keys since it was valid evidence of a sell (<2 months ago). The 30 key listing limited that, since that listing is still there after a month. That's how 30 ended up as the high-end.

Take 20-22 keys, unsolds aren't evidence

Not at all. This hat has sold for upwards of 30 keys (in pure and in unusuals) less than 2 months ago, which is valid evidence according to the guidelines. I explained why I set 30 as the high end in another comment.

Rules are rules, you can't set a highend with unsolds.

30 should not be in the range here; the rationale saying 30 hasn't sold in a month is an indication the higher sales are very likely outliers.

As a heads up: the sale for the hard hat should not be used here, but should be used there instead.