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Another one!
Sale 1: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198021055079#!/compare/1542240000/1542326400
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198169861981#!/compare/1542240000/1542326400
Sold for a Dead Presidents Well-Rounded Rifleman (31 keys) + ~13 keys in adds.
31 + 13 = 44
Sale 2: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198169861981#!/compare/1543536000/1543622400 - 22 pure.
Buyers: https://i.imgur.com/T43usit.png. 44 flat.
You missed the dedandrei sale at 35 pure that happened around the same time as these sales - https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198125791160#!/compare/1545350400/1545436800
It looks like he sold it for these 35 keys - https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198051888098#!/compare/1544832000/1545436800
But you can't see the hat traded to the buyer because there is a 7 day gap in the inventory.
I would call 44 and 25 outliers on either end and reprice off the pure sale