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Using last month.
Sale 1:
Sold with a key + ~0.5 keys in metal/item for Green Confetti Brain-Warming Wear (9)
Seller: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198146939162#!/compare/1550188800/1550361600
Buyer: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198279980264#!/compare/1549670400/1550361600
https://backpack.tf/item/6603834071
X = 7.5
Sale 2:
Sold for 7 keys
Seller: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198363395191#!/compare/1549324800/1549411200
Buyer: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198397249586#!/compare/1549238400/1549411200
https://backpack.tf/item/6603834071
X = 7
Other Sales:
https://backpack.tf/item/7466009130 (#1)
https://backpack.tf/item/6603834071 (#2-4)
https://backpack.tf/item/6206358761 (#5)
https://backpack.tf/item/4445676105 (#6)
https://backpack.tf/item/1815195909 (#7)
https://backpack.tf/item/4476061063 - mannco.trade
https://backpack.tf/item/6546976382 - probably traded between friends
https://backpack.tf/item/1628569113 - marketplace
#1
Untraceable
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198867788044#!/compare/1548633600/1548720000
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198342161127#!/compare/1548547200/1548633600
Only the 10 ref matches (none of the keys on the buyer’s end do, trust me, I checked)
#2
Sold for Footprints BoA
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198422289124#!/compare/1550275200/1550361600
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198146939162#!/compare/1550188800/1550361600
Not worth looking into. This BoA in particular doesn’t have any mini’s anyway.
#3
Sold with 2 keys? for Holy Grail Scotsman’s Stagger
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198279980264#!/compare/1549670400/1550361600
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198423300219#!/compare/1550361600/1550448000
I’m not confident that only 2 keys were added here, Would end up being too high if it were the case anyways. Excluding.
#4
Sold for 6 keys?
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198160193920#!/compare/1550620800/1550793600
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561197963500354#!/compare/1550534400/1550620800
I’m sure there was some metal involved. Either way, this sale is being excluded.
#5
Untraceable
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198024867201#!/compare/1548633600/1548720000
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198802421596#!/compare/1547251200/1550707200
#6
Backpack purchase
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198345893999#!/compare/1549756800/1550534400
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198084507703#!/compare/1550102400/1550534400
#7
SCM
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198072162434#!/compare/1548115200/1548806400
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198322736812#!/compare/1547942400/1549584000
Sellers:
https://i.imgur.com/eK8NEzY.png
https://backpack.tf/item/4187175305 - ~7.8 keys
Sales at:
7
7.5
Going with 7-7.5.
Another (currently hidden) seller at 8 supports the drop; it has been there for a while.