Sale 1: (Dupe)

Sold for 48 keys

Seller: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198344933095#!/compare/1549843200/1549929600

Buyer: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198311297599#!/compare/1549843200/1549929600

https://backpack.tf/item/415814078

https://i.imgur.com/4cicZPQ.png - bot.tf confirms

X = 48

Sale 2:

Sold for Green Confetti Killer Exclusive (43.5)+ ~1.5 keys in items

Seller: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198232041512#!/compare/1549238400/1549497600

Buyer: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198195420449#!/compare/1549411200/1549497600

https://backpack.tf/item/751978888

X = 45

Other Sales:

https://backpack.tf/item/751978888 (#1-5)

#1

Untraceable

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198055625203#!/compare/1549152000/1549238400

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198232041512#!/compare/1549152000/1549238400

Looks like it was the TC + 3 keys for the Blizzardy Hong Kong Cone, though I doubt that was all that was involved. Even if it was, it’s be too high here.

#2

Untraceable

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198195420449#!/compare/1549497600/1549584000

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198449307015#!/compare/1549497600/1549584000

#3

Sold with 5 keys for Disco Beat Down Tyrant’s Helm

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198258264645#!/compare/1550534400/1550620800

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198320216547#!/compare/1550016000/1550620800

Better off being used on the Tyrant’s Helm.

#4

Untraceable

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198449307015#!/compare/1549497600/1549584000

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198316571500#!/compare/1549497600/1549584000

Only the Aussie Black Box on the buyer’s end matches.

#5

Bulk for Burning Scotch Bonnet

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198316571500#!/compare/1550275200/1550361600

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198258264645#!/compare/1550275200/1550361600

Sellers:

https://i.imgur.com/PH5q4YT.png

https://backpack.tf/item/751978888 - 48 keys

https://backpack.tf/item/960737602 - 48 keys

https://backpack.tf/item/6418801362 - 55 keys

Sales at:

45

48 (dupe)

Going with 45-48.