Price Suggestion
~57.22 ref
Unique Mann Co. Supply Crate Key
158 votes up
64 votes down
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Item Snapshot made
Classifieds
  • 44.44 ref
    Unique Mann Co. Supply Crate Key 5 Purchased 7340567653 7198875490
  • 45 ref
    Unique Mann Co. Supply Crate Key 5 Purchased 7464499286 6666623779
  • 44.05 ref
    Unique Mann Co. Supply Crate Key 5 Purchased 7560681260 7560681260
  • 46 ref
    Unique Mann Co. Supply Crate Key 5 Purchased 7562084813 7562084813
  • 44.22 ref
    Unique Mann Co. Supply Crate Key 5 Purchased 7580001989 7270865741
  • 44.22 ref
    Unique Mann Co. Supply Crate Key 5 Purchased 7579969432 3627797134
  • 44.44 ref
    Unique Mann Co. Supply Crate Key 5 Purchased 7570767313 6975354327
  • 45 ref
    Unique Mann Co. Supply Crate Key 5 Purchased 7582769906 7353677833
  • 44.22 ref
    Unique Mann Co. Supply Crate Key 5 Purchased 7468087490 7099663731
  • 44.11 ref
    Unique Mann Co. Supply Crate Key 5 Purchased 7569568524 7437489761
  • 38.88 ref
    Unique Mann Co. Supply Crate Key
  • 39 ref
    Unique Mann Co. Supply Crate Key
  • 40 ref
    Unique Mann Co. Supply Crate Key
  • 42.88 ref
    Unique Mann Co. Supply Crate Key
  • 44 ref
    Unique Mann Co. Supply Crate Key
  • 43.88 ref
    Unique Mann Co. Supply Crate Key
  • 44 ref
    Unique Mann Co. Supply Crate Key
  • 44.11 ref
    Unique Mann Co. Supply Crate Key
  • 44.11 ref
    Unique Mann Co. Supply Crate Key
  • 44.11 ref
    Unique Mann Co. Supply Crate Key
$2.34
38,337 sold recently

This suggestion was accepted by Blaze.xTH3RM4Lx.

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Comments

Am I prepared?

Made one of these two months ago and it was really volatile at the time...

All evidence is here:

https://imgur.com/a/aAmyqPm


New price: 44.11-44.22 refined

_________________________________________________________

backpack.tf's Classifieds


Many, many sellers at 44.22

https://imgur.com/HT1oifm


Many, many buyers at 44.11

https://imgur.com/VtCS5cU

All bots have metal for at least 10 with few exceptions.


Two non-bot buyers at 44.33, discarding as not enough evidence to disprove

https://imgur.com/DwoqJVT

_______________________________________________________

Websites


ScrapTF: Updated recently to buying at 41.77, selling for 41.88 ref at the time of submission. Supply here remains zero, as the price is still increasing.


Scrap.tf used again to show a price where keys are too low to be sold reliably

https://imgur.com/eHUvuwy


STN-Trading: Buying at backpack buys, selling a bit above. More keys in its bot than I've ever seen, suggesting too high of a price.

https://imgur.com/9eVGYuN

_________________________________________________________

summary


Buyers are centralizing around 44.11

Successful sellers at 44.22

Unsuccessful seller at 44.77, as evidenced by 450+ keys on stn


Going with 44.11-44.22

    No longer accurate.

      What isn't accurate? One bot buying at 44.22 doesn't change anything, there are still tens buying at 44.11

    i'd like to see some sales here rather than just buyers/sellers. refer to previous accepted suggestions for an idea on how to do this

        In my opinion having to provide sales for keys is kinda ridiculous.

        Sure, technically keys are items just like any other and therefore should be priced the same way, but keys sell a LOT more than any other item, simply because it's the main currency in our economy.


        This huge amount of sales means you would have to list hundreds of sales, because if you show like 20 sales, those could all just be outliers. To prove that your sales are a common trading point, you have to list the majority of the sales, which is near impossible for keys.


        Classifieds however show pretty well, what keys sell for, despite not being actual sales.

        Noone is gonna choose to sell their keys for lower than the highest buyers and likewise noone is gonna buy keys for more than the lowest sellers.


        It's worked before without actual sales for this very reason.

          I don't want to self advertise, but my suggestions inclue compares with keys sales. It isn't a huge work to add a few compares, so I don't think you have to complain here

          Sold 30+ for 44.33 :^) yesterday

            Sold 10 more right now for 44.33 :^)


            Also stn.tf has sold like 20+ at 44.66. :v

            Based on the current state of the market this is about where I'd put it too. I'm assuming for the ScrapTF prices you meant 43.77 and 43.88. They since shifted that to 43.88 and 44.11, but supplies still nil (I really have to wonder what's up with that). STN does what STN does, they deliberately run some degree ahead of market as an inventory control measure with current ranges unchanged from the screenshot you included. The amount of keys it does have isn't unprecedented though.