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The Sale:
Sold for Steaming Cosa (~13.5) + ~1.5 keys in taunts
Seller: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561197993987295#!/compare/1545782400/1546128000
Buyer: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198434780986#!/compare/1546128000/1546214400 - No good compare available
https://backpack.tf/item/7160165124 (worth noting that everything else in this history is gambling-related)
X = 15
Marketplace Sales:
https://marketplace.tf/items/30180;5;u7
https://manic.tf/keyprice/?at=2018-12-26 - $22.99 / $1.81 = 12.70 keys
$15 sale would’ve gone to a buy order. Excluding.
X = 13
Other Sales:
https://backpack.tf/item/5287615375 - nothing usable
Sales at:
13
15
No current sellers.
Going with 13-15.