The Sale:

Sold for 8 keys + ~0.5 keys in metal

Seller: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198417607013#!/compare/1549584000/1549670400

Buyer: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198135471147#!/compare/1549584000/1549670400

https://backpack.tf/item/3051747695

X = 8.5

Marketplace Sales:

https://marketplace.tf/items/1116;5;u3015

https://manic.tf/keyprice/?at=2019-02-24 - $18 / $1.8 = 10.00 keys

X = 10

Other Sales:

https://backpack.tf/item/5250237124 (#1)

https://backpack.tf/item/3811707304 (#2)

https://backpack.tf/item/2972458246 - marketplace

#1

Appears to have sold with another item for keys

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198311498888#!/compare/1546387200/1546473600

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198097972401#!/compare/1546387200/1546473600

Was traded back on the same day so no big deal ignoring this sale.

#2

Sold to a bot for 6 keys + 17 ref?

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198110254941#!/compare/1547424000/1547510400

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198335791307#!/compare/1547424000/1547510400

https://i.imgur.com/Bp0VPJ4.png

Haven’t checked all the keys/metal on the buyer’s end, as it isn’t going to change the range due to it being the only sale to a bot anyways.

Sellers:

https://i.imgur.com/q1K73TT.png

https://backpack.tf/item/3051747695 - 10 keys

https://backpack.tf/item/3811707304 - 12 keys

https://backpack.tf/item/2712574567 - 12 keys

https://backpack.tf/item/2710735968 - 12 keys

https://backpack.tf/item/5234743724 - 15 keys

Sales at:

8.5

10

Going with 8.5-10.