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Sale 1:
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198317606171#!/compare/1545004800/1545177600
(other side is unclear)
Unclear
Sale 2-3:
https://marketplace.tf/items/158;5;u61/
= $27 / $1.8 (Mar 9)
= 15 keys
= $26.29 / $1.8 (Feb 10th)
= 14.60...
~ 15 keys
Summary: 15, 15
Seller: 12 (2 months old)
Conclusion: pricing at 12-15 keys (recommended by Headshotedoge, thank you)
Not only current seller has been unable to sell it for 12 for 2 months, but there's also this:
Sold for 11 keys
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198317606171#!/compare/1550102400/1550188800
https://bot.tf/stats/listings/M1NQDGOY ----- Listed since (at least) Jan 17th
So it took a month to sell for that. 15 will be high, so you can go with 11 flat.
I'll update it now, thank you for the new info.