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Five days indate but buyers are already two keys above bp price
Sale 1: 36k
https://marketplace.tf/items/590;5;u30
$62 on 12/22
Sale 2: 34k
https://marketplace.tf/items/590;5;u30
$62 on 2/24
Sale 3: bulk for knifestorm prancer
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198074120641#!/compare/1548547200/1548633600
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198846287608#!/compare/1548547200/1548633600
Sale 4: better used there
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198251704884#!/compare/1552262400/1552348800
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198089910795#!/compare/1552262400/1552348800
TaW Falkirk + 9k adds
Sale 5: used there
https://backpack.tf/suggestion/5c8328cd678072640b5d8557
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198080179568#!/compare/1547856000/1547942400
Sale 6: using there
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198119130644#!/compare/1548547200/1548720000
Sale 7: bulk for cmoon bubble pipe
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198119130644#!/compare/1548892800/1548979200
Sale 8: untrace
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198155699667#!/compare/1549756800/1549929600
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198119009060#!/compare/1549756800/1549929600
Sale 9: 29k
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198035780190#!/compare/1551744000/1551830400
Buyers at 28.2, excluding this
Sales at 29, 34, 36
Excluding 29 due to buyers being under a key away
Taking 34-36
Not a fan of 36 being in range when it's almost outdated + was an outlier in previous suggestion
So for one hat, a marketplace sale two weeks outdated supports a low end (by your logic), but this being 'almost outdated' doesn't.
There's a difference between supporting, and being used.
A couple of things, Sale #9, I purchased it for 30 keys, not 29.
And I don't know why you didn't document this one, but I sold it to STN for 28, where it's sat unsold @ 34 for two weeks. With 36 being almost outdated and the fact MP.TF listings are often higher to make up for fees, it could be argued that 30-36 or 30-34 would be equally as valid a range.
Should probably provide evidence for these, my b.
https://backpack.tf/item/1730676151
https://imgur.com/a/IMXPqY0
Didn't edit because the edit function just straight up never works for me.