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The Sale:
Sold for 9 keys + ~0.5 keys in metal
Seller: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198176908594#!/compare/1552953600/1553040000
Buyer: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198838788284#!/compare/1552953600/1553040000
https://backpack.tf/item/3543422803
X = 9.5
Marketplace Sales:
https://marketplace.tf/items/30187;5;u7
https://manic.tf/keyprice/?at=2018-12-27 - $23.99 / $1.79 = 13.40 keys
https://manic.tf/keyprice/?at=2019-03-11 - $23.99 / $1.8 = 13.33 keys
$17 went to a buy order, excluding.
X = 13 (2x)
Sales at:
9.5
13 (2x)
No current sellers.
9.5 may look like an outlier, but it’s currently on tf2mart, and I doubt they’d be selling for more than 13 keys worth, meaning we’re gonna need a low-end here.
Going with 9.5-13.