Another refresh.

Sale #1:

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198313248492#!/compare/1550534400/1550620800

Untraceable, scammer fence?

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Sale #2:

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198196894698#!/compare/1550793600/1550880000

Sold for 10 keys and 6 ref.

10 keys

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Sale #3:

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198044684270#!/compare/1550793600/1550880000

Unsure.

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Sale #4:

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561197991783701#!/compare/1546473600/1546560000

Untraceable.

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Sale #5:

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198173015670#!/compare/1546560000/1546819200

Bulk.

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Sale #6:

https://bot.tf/stats/item?def=338&q=5&ef=Orbiting+Fire&craft=1&aus=0&ks=0

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198448829129#!/compare/1546642800/1546729200

Sold for 10 keys and 22 ref.

10 keys

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Sale #7:

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198080179568#!/compare/1549584000/1549670400

Sold for 12 keys.

12 keys

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Sale #8:

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198882398111#!/compare/1548806400/1548892800

Untraceable.

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Sale #9:

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198268798857#!/compare/1548028800/1548115200

Sold for a '72 Taunt: The Meet the Medic (~4 keys) and a Professional Killstreak Mantreads Kit (~2 keys) and a Bubbling Industrial Festivizer (11 keys).

~16 keys, outlier.

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Sale #10:

https://bot.tf/stats/item?def=338&q=5&ef=Orbiting+Fire&craft=1&aus=0&ks=0

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198448829129#!/compare/1547161200/1547247600

Sold for 12 keys.

12 keys

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Sale #10:

https://marketplace.tf/items/338;5;u33

Sold for $29.99.

$29.99 / $1.80 = ~17 keys

17 keys

Sales:

10, 10, 12, 12, 16, 17. Buyers are buying at ~11 keys, and 16 and 17 seem to be outliers. Going with 12 keys.