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The Sale:
Sold to a quickbuyer for 14 keys + 1 ref
Seller: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198131966769#!/compare/1546387200/1546473600
Buyer: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198337734785#!/compare/1546387200/1546473600
https://backpack.tf/item/7059220980
X = 14
Marketplace Sales:
https://marketplace.tf/items/626;5;u7
https://manic.tf/keyprice/?at=2019-03-03 - $30.66 / $1.79 = 17.13 keys
X = 17
Other Sales:
https://backpack.tf/item/5136481979 - tradeit
Sellers:
https://i.imgur.com/5nvhN6K.png
https://backpack.tf/item/7059220980 - 14 keys
https://backpack.tf/item/3996333131 - 14 keys
Sales at:
14
17
2 sellers at 14, both unsold for a long time. Excluding 17.
Going with 14 flat.