Sale 1:

Sold for Strange Original (~16.5) + Tesla Coil Cranial Carcharodon (Mini at 16.5 below) + White Paint (~3)

Seller: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198859721638#!/compare/1553904000/1553990400

Buyer: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198273492951#!/compare/1553904000/1553990400

https://backpack.tf/item/239992198

https://bot.tf/stats/listings?def=252&q=5&ef=Circling+TF+Logo&craft=1&aus=0&ks=0 - couldn’t find a B/O.

X = 36

Sale 2:

Sold for Smoking Team Captain (35.5)

Seller: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198056571743#!/compare/1547251200/1547337600

Buyer: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198208582767#!/compare/1547251200/1547337600

https://backpack.tf/item/269832321

X = 36

Sale 3:

Sold for 36 keys

Seller: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198156255538#!/compare/1547251200/1547337600

Buyer: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198084871957#!/compare/1547251200/1547337600

https://backpack.tf/item/203450895

X = 36

Sale 4:

Sold with cheap cosmetic for 34 keys

Seller: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198208582767#!/compare/1547510400/1547596800

Buyer: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198200940598#!/compare/1547510400/1547596800

https://backpack.tf/item/269832321

X = 34

Sale 5: (Duped)

Sold for 34 keys + 20 ref

Seller: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198337734785#!/compare/1552521600/1552608000

Buyer: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198253280550#!/compare/1552521600/1552608000

https://backpack.tf/item/745253883

X = 34

Sale 6: (Duped)

Sold for 29 keys + 25 ref

Seller: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198301348378#!/compare/1550102400/1550275200

Buyer: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198337734785#!/compare/1550188800/1550275200

https://backpack.tf/item/745253883

X = 30

Marketplace Sales:

https://marketplace.tf/items/252;5;u11

https://manic.tf/keyprice/?at=2019-01-31 - $75 / $1.8 = 41.67 keys

https://backpack.tf/item/745253883 - Was duped

X = 42

Other Sales:

https://backpack.tf/item/527051201 (#1)

https://backpack.tf/item/203450895 (#2)

https://backpack.tf/item/269832321 (#3)

#1

SCM

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198057408137#!/compare/1548979200/1553904000

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198060731432#!/compare/1517529600/1551657600

#2

Sold for Kill-a-Watt Federal Casemaker

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198084871957#!/compare/1549152000/1549411200

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198021055079#!/compare/1549152000/1549238400

Can be used on the Casemaker

#3

Sold for Steaming Merc’s Mohawk + 1 key

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198168330095#!/compare/1546819200/1547164800

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198056571743#!/compare/1547078400/1547164800

We have a fair share of pure sales here already, can be used on the Mohawk instead.

#4

Sold for Purple Confetti Woolen Warmer + 3 keys

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198044830231#!/compare/1553817600/1554076800

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198859721638#!/compare/1553990400/1554076800

Using on the Warmer.

Tesla Cranial Mini:

Sale 1:

Sold for 17 keys

Seller: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198192602363#!/compare/1550361600/1550448000

Buyer: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198421240889#!/compare/1550188800/1550448000

https://backpack.tf/item/7504581215

X = 17

Sale 2:

Sold for 16 keys

Seller: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198035280371#!/compare/1547856000/1547942400

Buyer: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198202037046#!/compare/1547856000/1547942400

https://backpack.tf/item/5262949839

X = 16

Sale 3:

Sold for 16 keys + some ref

Seller: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198053811988#!/compare/1553212800/1553299200

Buyer: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198002757046#!/compare/1553126400/1553212800

https://backpack.tf/item/5240932886

X = 16

Sale 4:

Sold for 16 keys + 1 ref

Seller: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198859721638#!/compare/1553904000/1553990400

Buyer: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198129397184#!/compare/1553817600/1553990400

https://backpack.tf/item/5223808654

X = 16

Taking 16-17.

Sellers:

https://i.imgur.com/SS0u9Em.png

https://backpack.tf/item/745253883 - 34 keys, duped (despite what the listing says lol)

https://backpack.tf/item/203450895 - 42 keys

Sales at:

30 (duped)

34 (2x, 1 duped, 1 clean)

36 (3x)

42 (duped)

30 is too low, and is duped anyways. Excluding.

42 is an outlier, excluding.

Going with 34-36.