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Using past 2 months.
Sale #1:
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198259486215#!/compare/1552608000/1552867200
Sold for a Screaming Tiger Taunt: Runner's Rhythm (9 keys) (https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198170082509#!/compare/1551657600/1552089600).
9 keys
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Sale #2:
https://bot.tf/stats/item?def=30920&q=5&ef=Poisonous+Bubbles+of+Regret&craft=1&aus=0&ks=0
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198335791307#!/compare/1551999600/1552086000
Sold for 10 keys.
10 keys
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Marketplace.tf stats:
https://marketplace.tf/items/30920;5;u3019
Past 60 days:
1x $17.32 ($17.32 / $1.79 = ~9.5 keys)
1x $12.99 ($12.99 / $1.80 = ~7 keys)
1x $11.12 ($11.12 / $1.79 = ~6 keys)
Sales:
6, 7, 9, 9.5, 10. Going with 6 - 10 keys.
Few problems with this, namely -
bot.tf listing screenshots only show the price the item was listed at, not what it actually sold for.
With an incomplete sale (10 keys not showing in the compare), there's no real way to prove it sold for 10 here.
It's very unlikely it sold for that anyway this recently, especially with two 2mo unsolds at 10 and an 18d unsold at 9.
I'd probably take 6 - 9 here