Price Suggestion
~530 keys
amaranthine
Unusual Backbiter's Billycock Amaranthine
64 votes up
8 votes down
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Comments

3 sales


1) WIth 2 keys in items for Purple Energy Hat With No Name (97)

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561197970562873#!/compare/1554681600/1554768000

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198090147535#!/compare/1554681600/1554768000


No Name Hat

https://backpack.tf/suggestion/5c34179544325a0a854b3b48


97 - 2 = 95


Now buyer is selling for 80.

https://imgur.com/6P9v9u1


80


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2) Terror-Watt Jumper's Jeepcap (17) + Screaming Tiger The Boston Breakdance (4) + Blizzardy Storm Toy Soldier (14) + 22 ref + 17 keys

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198838788284#!/compare/1554336000/1554422400

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198090147535#!/compare/1554336000/1554422400


Only mini for jeep is 17 keys

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198798016614#!/compare/1554336000/1554422400


Break

https://backpack.tf/stats/Unusual/Taunt%3A%20The%20Boston%20Breakdance/Tradable/Craftable/3006


Soldier sold for $25 on April 4th, keys were $1.79

https://marketplace.tf/items/30316;5;u30

25/1.79 ≈ 14 keys


17 + 4 + 14 + 1 + 17 = 53


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3) Bulk

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198055622215#!/compare/1553644800/1553731200

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198838788284#!/compare/1553644800/1553731200


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No marketplace sales.

https://marketplace.tf/items/108;5;u82


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Total: 53, 80. Rounded to 55-80 due to unstable value with jeep.

If you will find other sales, you're welcome to report them.

    New suggestion for no name hat at 94

    https://backpack.tf/suggestion/5cab5fe8d381720e3b0e7ad3

      Based on this, it seems like the hwnn sale was simply an outlier.


      Taking the BO of the person who bought it is typically a last resort - a buyer selling for less than he paid often indicates that the items paid weren't actually worth more than that BO, but it may also be an indication that he overpaid too much.


      In this case, 80 (where the sale itself would be ~92) is already well above current as well as above the other sale, and he has been unsuccessful since he got it. If he had resold anywhere near 80 I suppose I would've been fine with this, but given the circumstances I would leave the hwnn sale out as an outlier.