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Two recent sales on this hat:
Sale 1
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198044203779#!/compare/1553990400/1554076800
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198304009353#!/compare/1553990400/1554076800
Sold for 10 keys pure
Sale 2:
Sold on marketplace.tf for $29.99: https://marketplace.tf/items/30316;5;u34
Keys were $1.80 that day: https://manic.tf/keyprice/?at=2019-03-09&price=29.99
$29.99 / $1.8 = 16.66 = 17 keys
Sale 3:
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198304009353#!/compare/1555200000/1555459200
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198115062041#!/compare/1555372800/1555459200
Sold in bulk for a Beams Pyromancer Hood = Use there
Taking 10-17 keys
https://steamcommunity.com/market/listings/440/Unusual%20Toy%20Soldier seller at about 13 on the SCM - that makes 17 seem really high.
https://imgur.com/a/POBYZ08
May be best to leave this outdated for now since the sales are too discrepant.