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All credits to lemons, countering at mods request
Sale 1)
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198019955508#!/compare/1551916800/1552176000
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198042938501#!/compare/1551830400/1551916800 - Sold with ~2 Keys in Sweets for an Aces High Hound Dog (12.5) = (10.5) Keys
Sale 2) (creds foamy)
The seller at 12 mentioned here sold for an aussie axtinguisher (~5) + 7 keys
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198042938501#!/compare/1552435200/1553212800 = 12
Since the sale in the suggestion is under buyers, 12 flat will work.