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https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198096239568#!/compare/1550016000/1550102400 - Untraceable
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198260467278#!/compare/1550102400/1550188800 - Using for Panzer Pants
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198252999692#!/compare/1550188800/1550361600 - 15 keys
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198018101085#!/compare/1550707200/1550793600 - 3 keys, Purple Confetti Carouser's Capotain (8.5 keys), Orbiting Fire Cadaver's Cranium (8.5 keys). 20 keys
The sale at 15 happened in like a day it seems, and sale 4 had a B/O of 18:
https://bot.tf/stats/listings/4WVG3XZM
https://backpack.tf/item/7299528264
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198260201158#!/compare/1550620800/1550707200
So 18 flat should be okay.