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thanks fish, also marketplace sales are ok to use right?
Sale 1: dbd wraith wrap + 15 keys
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198054198170#!/compare/1554076800/1554163200
36 + 15 = 51 keys
buyout was 45 so i will cap it there
https://bot.tf/stats/listings/4ZWGXGX4
sale 2: bulk
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198338949704#!/compare/1551484800/1551657600
sale 3: smoking team captain + 3 keys + Strange Specialized Killstreak Gold Botkiller Scattergun Mk.I
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198418740133#!/compare/1552953600/1553126400
steam market has the scatter at around 5 keys?
https://gyazo.com/762601aa6f916246e788a22a8e948f06
mini for team captain - sold for 40 keys
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198418740133#!/compare/1553731200/1553817600
40 + 3 + 5 = 48 keys
buyout was also 45 keys so i will cap it there
https://bot.tf/stats/listings/Y9V9LZ64
sale 4: another bulk
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198232041512#!/compare/1553904000/1553990400
sale 5: no clue here
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198871433145#!/compare/1555718400/1556409600
went on marketplace and found 2 sales. one for 71.99 on march 10, 2019 and another for 47.62 on april 28, 2019
https://marketplace.tf/items/30067;5;u15
the average price for keys was 1.8 on march 10. so 71.99 / 1.8 = 39.99 rounding to 40
https://marketplace.tf/items/5021;6
https://gyazo.com/c3469a712c776a949ed4d5f281cef872
40 keys
on april 28, the average price was also 1.8 so same procedure.
47.62 / 1.8 = 26.45 this is too low i will not be using it (buyers at higher)
https://gyazo.com/9d96a9f60d3d562361651b5cd60ebc22
so i have sales at 45, 45, 40 and 26.45. making a range of 40-45 and excluding 26.45 as a low outlier.