Suggestion: Spellbound Scotch Bonnet at 123 keys

Price Suggestion

~1000 keys

spellbnd

58 votes up

10 votes down

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This suggestion was accepted Fri, 21 Jun 19 13:51:41 +0000 by polar.

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Comments

back to old colour

Sale 1: sold with strange australium minigun for smoking brotherhood + cloud9 front runner + 30 keys + Strange Festivized Specialized Killstreak Australium Sniper Rifle + Strange Festivized Specialized Killstreak Australium SMG

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198060705509#!/compare/1551657600/1551744000

mini for brotherhood - 38.5 keys

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198100912739#!/compare/1551139200/1551225600

mini for sniper rifle

https://marketplace.tf/items/201;11;australium;kt-2/Specialized%20Australium%20Sniper%20Rifle

on march 4, 2019, average price was 54.45

54.45 / 1.79 = 30.41 rounding to 30.5

mini for smg

https://marketplace.tf/items/203;11;australium;kt-2;festive/Specialized%20Festivized%20Australium%20SMG

on march 4, 2019, average price was 15.34

15.34 / 1.79 = 8.57 rounding to 8.5

on march 4, 2019, the average price of keys was 1.79

https://marketplace.tf/items/5021;6/Mann%20Co.%20Supply%20Crate%20Key

38.5 + 33.5 + 30 + 30.5 + 8.5 = 141

141 - 18 = 123

sale 2: sold with arcana scotch bonnet and some other stuff for a duped vintage max head

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198069527288#!/compare/1552867200/1554508800

not using

sale 3: sold with other stuff for duped vintage earbuds

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198285371555#!/compare/1555545600/1555632000

ok not using

sale 4: sold with 11 keys for scorching flames federal casemaker

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198285371555#!/compare/1554681600/1554940800

well i think this should be used for the casemaker tbh

buyers

https://gyazo.com/5c1dbbdeba02759d7b56bee4aa764b51

i have one sale for 123 keys and i have buyers at 85, 102, and 104, which shows the current price is low.

making the final price 123 keys.

https://backpack.tf/suggestion/5cac2725d3817221625f2fac why is that sale better used here?

i thought it was a bit high for a sale, so i wasn't sure i should use that sale for the bonnet. so in other words, how i worded what i said was incorrect.

so that is my mistake.

as for the sale, that's 202.5 (according to his suggestion) - 11 = 191.5 keys for the bonnet.

since there's a seller at 190, i guess the only way to tell whichever is high or low, is to see if the seller can sell at the b/o (or if lower i can make a range). otherwise, if he cant sell for a certain time we can assume that 190 is too high and exclude the sale as a high outlier.

https://gyazo.com/07601c6828e73987571ed8a15cba35bd

still no other recent sales. and the seller has had it at 190 for 3 weeks and / or longer.

after about a month, it seems that the seller has dropped the price to 175, which kinda proves that 190 would be too high.

https://gyazo.com/1773b204cc087a0c3bd0f0389caddf7d