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Old Price
Bought mine for 76 in items. (If you round the JuJu (which is 3.87), along with the 3 hats, It comes out to 76):
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198168657333#!/compare/1557446400/1557532800
Hound Dog is out of date, you will need a mini for it or otherwise update it~
This is the sale for the Hound Dog,
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198168657333#!/compare/1557014400/1557187200
I bought it for the Purple Fetti Ground Control (Which is also outdated) along with the strange coat and fleece, (which came out to 31.13 keys)
Mini for the ground control:
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198168657333#!/compare/1543536000/1543968000
Not gonna Lie it was quite difficult to remember what i actually bought the ground control for.
I bought it for the stormy storm stalhelm, along with the battin a thousand and the hardware. (which comes out to 23.9)
I bought the stahlhelm on marketplace for $29.99 (it was the Nov 29th sale): https://marketplace.tf/items/616;5;u29
The issue here is that you can't use outdated hats to update other outdated hats. You are updating this hat last priced a year ago with the hound dog which was priced 2 years ago. That will need a proper update before using it to update this hat. The ground control you are using as proof for the value of the hound dog was also priced 10 months ago. We'll need better estimations of value here.
Ghosts Hound Dog has seller at 27 unsold for 2 months. Cannot be valued more than that. Your other purchases here are too old to use as proof of value.
Other sales on the conn cap - https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198068064085#!/compare/1559952000/1560297600 - ~60 in value
The sale before seems like it might have been 68 pure, but that's not clear. In any case, 76 is going to be too high here. It's possible 70 flat may also be too high given the other sales.