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Sale 1: using there
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561197964782863#!/compare/1556409600/1556496000
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198041124704#!/compare/1556409600/1556496000
Burning law + 2x spelled pro ks aussie RL + 25k
Sale 2: using there
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198015330923#!/compare/1556323200/1556496000
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198041124704#!/compare/1556409600/1556496000
Scorching noh - scorching rack - 2k
Sale 3: csgo items involved
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198015330923#!/compare/1557964800/1558224000
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198054198170#!/compare/1558137600/1558224000
Sale 4: 543k
https://mannco.store/item/9139
$1000 on 3/15
Sale 5: 657k
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198105071091#!/compare/1556841600/1556928000
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198030383222#!/compare/1556841600/1556928000
Duped scorching tc + hghosts phantom + 6k
TC at 577.5, read this: https://pastebin.com/nB9AZAww
phantom indate at 73
578 + 73 + 6
Sale 6: 959k
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198105071091#!/compare/1558310400/1558396800
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198086247757#!/compare/1558310400/1558396800
Frost KE + scorching phantom + lantern rack + cps beak + cheart yello belt + c9 brainiac + 53k
KE indate at 370
phantom indate at 147.5
rack at 200: https://backpack.tf/suggestion/5cde0a2467807248424ca7c8
beak at 73: https://backpack.tf/suggestion/5cddd7f1678072216c60c626
belt at 79: https://backpack.tf/suggestion/5cddd2ffd38172333924f03f
brainiac at 36.5: https://backpack.tf/suggestion/5cdc36c96780725dac30f118
370 + 147.5 + 200 + 73 + 79 + 36.5 + 53 = 959k
I rly don't have faith in the 500 sale on mannco, appeared to have been sold by a scammer and bought by a guy with a bp spike around that time.
Overall, taking 650-960 here. Sorry for ugly range in advance, worked for almost a week on this and the scorching tc.
range seems a tad wide. maybe use the law sale here and use 915 flat for the law. makes more sense anyways.
Why does it make more sense
Well you would then have 2 sales that are closer together in price than have a 300 + key difference.
Plus with 2 sales that are far apart like these two its smarter to have a third sale, either to show that one sale is too low/high, and to make a more accurate price range.
The law sale would leave the ke 1015(according to your mini for the rl) .
960 and 1015 are nearby and makes sense, while 650 is a low outlier.
Not going to put this at 960-1015.
Documenting any and all offers here:
Offer 1: ~~850 keys in unusuals
https://cdn.discordapp.com/attachments/250356056855674880/581708817729978370/dsfees.PNG
https://backpack.tf/stats/Unusual/El%20Jefe/Tradable/Craftable/69
https://backpack.tf/stats/Unusual/Bonk%20Boy/Tradable/Craftable/89
https://backpack.tf/stats/Unusual/Anger/Tradable/Craftable/46
https://backpack.tf/stats/Unusual/Exquisite%20Rack/Tradable/Craftable/62
https://backpack.tf/stats/Unusual/Familiar%20Fez/Tradable/Craftable/47
https://backpack.tf/stats/Unusual/Vintage%20Tyrolean/Tradable/Craftable/13
Around 850 in hats, much lower than 960 paid
Offer 2: ~~930 in unusuals
https://cdn.discordapp.com/attachments/250356056855674880/581708933664866316/Screenshot_20190524-073417_Steam.jpg
https://backpack.tf/stats/Unusual/Bonk%20Boy/Tradable/Craftable/43
https://backpack.tf/stats/Unusual/Crone's%20Dome/Tradable/Craftable/110
https://backpack.tf/stats/Unusual/Backwards%20Ballcap/Tradable/Craftable/79
Around 930 in hats, ballcap can't be updated at the moment
Could be used as potential data points to show 960 is too high, but I prefer the drop as is.
Will leave to mods as always :P
you're valuing most of the hats at outdated prices. if that is the case though, showing past offers that are above 650 would show that 650 is too low.
one trade offer was a PE crones + GE hong kong + beams ushanka
https://gyazo.com/273c21d7f4def3926a35e1b0b93f9d17
would be atleast 700.
Only took outdated prices for hats in those offers because not many of them had new ones.
GE hkc has three sellers below indate bp price,
PE crone's sold recently for 300: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198080179568#!/compare/1555200000/1555286400
Sunbeams ushanka unsold for three months 30k below bp price and young sellers lower than that.
I acknowledge that they're out of date, but they're out of date for a reason.
That sale with updated, accurate prices would be much lower than 650 if minid.
then those aren't accurate..
pe crones has also sold for darkblaze headsplitter (425 in date)
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198002757046#!/compare/1555804800/1555891200
out of date for a reason, you're right, so using those offers to show 960 is high wouldn't be accurate as they are outdated prices.
what sale? there wasn't a sale, these are just offers lol
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198125791160#!/compare/1558828800/1558915200
Sold for 500, kinda clear qs