Sale 1: (Spelled)

Sold for 120 keys

Seller: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198082417334#!/compare/1554163200/1554249600

Buyer: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198071879537#!/compare/1554163200/1554249600

https://backpack.tf/item/694161571

X = 120

Sale 2:

Sold with ~8 keys in buds/bill’s (at the time) for Circling Heart Runner’s Warm-Up (65) + Sunbeams Outdoorsman (36.5) + Circling Heart Powdered Practitioner

Seller: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198173442901#!/compare/1554854400/1554940800

Buyer: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198065400580#!/compare/1554854400/1554940800

https://backpack.tf/item/5676355894

https://bot.tf/stats/listings/4WL6N17Y - B/O of 120

No mini available on the Practitioner, but without it, this sale will be around 94 keys, and with buyers at ~25 on the Practitioner, this will either round to 120, or cap at 120.

X = 120

Sale 3:

Sold for Duped Secret Sergeant’s Drill Hat (Mini at 113.5 below)

Seller: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198065400580#!/compare/1555286400/1555372800

Buyer: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198101092551#!/compare/1555200000/1555372800

https://backpack.tf/item/5676355894

https://bot.tf/stats/listings/MQR18L24 - B/O of 120

X = 114, rounding to 115.

Sale 4:

Sold for Circling Heart Rotation (Suggestion at 56.5) + 40 keys

Seller: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198859721638#!/compare/1556582400/1556755200

Buyer: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198082350482#!/compare/1556668800/1556755200

https://backpack.tf/item/5676355894

X = 97, rounding to 95

Sale 5:

Sold to a quickbuyer for 95 keys

Seller: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198140565712#!/compare/1556668800/1556755200

Buyer: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198859721638#!/compare/1556582400/1556755200

https://backpack.tf/item/5676355894

X = 95

Sale 6:

Sold to a bot for 92 keys

Seller: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198045022302#!/compare/1554249600/1554336000

Buyer: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198323565601#!/compare/1554249600/1554336000

https://backpack.tf/item/5676355894

X = 92

Sale 7:

Sold to a quickbuyer for 85 keys

Seller: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198082350482#!/compare/1558310400/1558396800

Buyer: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198337734785#!/compare/1558310400/1558396800

https://backpack.tf/item/5676355894

X = 85

Other Sales:

https://backpack.tf/item/5676355894 (#1)

https://backpack.tf/item/694161571 (#2)

https://backpack.tf/item/225158545 - marketplace

https://backpack.tf/item/5544538267 - marketplace

#1

Sold for Vivid BoA

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198101092551#!/compare/1556236800/1556582400

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198140565712#!/compare/1556323200/1556582400

Using on the BoA

#2

Bulk for Burning Casemaker

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198071879537#!/compare/1555718400/1556150400

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198202477376#!/compare/1555891200/1556150400

Circling Heart Rotation:

https://backpack.tf/suggestion/5cef6e036780727d9462f80e

Duped Secret Drill Mini:

Sale 1:

Sold for Death at Dusk Company Man + (102) Duped SMOKING SMOKING Skid Lid (Mini at 25 below)

Seller: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198165055074#!/compare/1556323200/1556409600

Buyer: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198371355837#!/compare/1556323200/1556409600

https://backpack.tf/item/1194065886

X = 127

Sale 2:

https://marketplace.tf/items/183;5;u46 - $222.22 on May 10th

https://backpack.tf/item/1238505193 (nothing on bot.tf)

https://manic.tf/keyprice/?at=2019-05-10 - $222.22 / $1.8 = 123.46 keys

X = 123

Sale 3:

Untraceable, sold to a quickbuyer

Seller: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198324290571#!/compare/1559001600/1559088000

Buyer: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198337734785#!/compare/1559001600/1559088000

https://backpack.tf/item/1238505193

Included this one here because the seller is the buyer of the marketplace purchase, so it would be best to not use the marketplace sale as a mini.

Sale 4:

Sold for 100 keys

Seller: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198437172792#!/compare/1551484800/1553212800

Buyer: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198823641017#!/compare/1553126400/1553212800

https://backpack.tf/item/1194065886

X = 100

Sale 5:

Sold for Aces High Antlers + 16 keys

Seller: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198823641017#!/compare/1553644800/1553731200

Buyer: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198398063696#!/compare/1553644800/1553731200

https://backpack.tf/item/1194065886

Should fit in the range.

Sales at 100 and 127.

Taking 100-127 (113.5)

Duped SMOKING SMOKING Skid Lid Mini:

Sold for $45 on marketplace

https://marketplace.tf/items/30399;5;u35

https://manic.tf/keyprice/?at=2019-03-27 - $45 / $1.78 = 25.28 keys

X = 25

Sellers:

https://i.imgur.com/3ZHV5za.png

https://backpack.tf/item/5676355894 - 95 keys

https://backpack.tf/item/5544538267 - 110 keys

https://backpack.tf/item/225158545 - 110 keys

https://backpack.tf/item/694161571 - 125 keys

https://backpack.tf/item/952185887 - 150 keys

Sales at:

85

92

95 (2x)

115

120 (2x)

Too many sales at or below 95, as well as a seller at 95. Keeping 95, excluding everything lower.

3 sales above the cheaper sellers. Will include the lowest one (115), but exclude the others (120).

Going with 95-115.