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Sale 1:
95 pure
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198079583278#!/compare/1556409600/1556582400
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198094832204#!/compare/1556496000/1556582400
Bought it for 120 to then sell it for 95 🤔🤔🤔 : https://backpack.tf/suggestion/5ca3b0ced38172391d1d3955
Excluding for that reason and also kinda close to buyers now
Sale 2:
Being used to price warpig: https://backpack.tf/suggestion/5cdd2d16d38172448e090799
Sold for D@D warpig
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198084367252#!/compare/1557360000/1557446400
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198094832204#!/compare/1557360000/1557446400
Sale 3:
Caps at my b/o of 160 keys: https://imgur.com/a/TGvCZIC
195 keys
Arcana Billycock(172.5 keys) + GFetti Crown(13 keys) + DP Sultan(9.5 keys)
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198102298516#!/compare/1561075200/1561248000
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198084367252#!/compare/1560643200/1561248000
Billycock: https://backpack.tf/suggestion/5d0c4de9d38172446b234526
Crown: https://backpack.tf/suggestion/5d0fdb0fd38172568f79ab0c
Sultan price out of date but b/o caps anyway
paying 120 and reselling for 95 is usually excluded on account of the high end of that being too high, not to make it too low :p
This should be left outdated here given the circumstances on the billy - this was in-date and he paid over 200 for the billy only to dump it with adds on a hat half its price. Both sales are outliers on both hats.
https://backpack.tf/suggestion/5d12c0db67807255d7477aa9 Actually this may give you an out - with the war pig at 130, that sale could be used here instead to make this 130.
[edit]
Oh, but that hinges on that bolted birdcage which at this time should not be updated. Hmmmm
[edit 2]
Commented on the warpig now - I could see that work at 105, which'd fall right between 95 and 120 actually.
[edit 3]
You're in even more luck actually:
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198102298516#!/compare/1564099200/1564531200 it sold here with 6 in sweets for that cloak (mini at 113)
Cloak sold for a burning cowl (mini at 113) here
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198102298516#!/compare/1564790400/1564963200
other sale is bulk:
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561197968546159#!/compare/1560556800/1560643200
Cowl resold for a scorching sammy, indate at 113
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198102298516#!/compare/1564963200/1565222400
113-6 = 108
I would be okay with 105-108 here.
Even with a buyer at 105?
https://imgur.com/a/6LwHYPd
I mean its a single, day-old buyer vs 3 sales around or below that value :P