Using last month.

Sale 1:

Sold for 2 keys + Strange Pro. KS Festivized Spy-Cicle (~2.5)

Seller: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561197961172123#!/compare/1559692800/1559779200

Buyer: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198230995084#!/compare/1559520000/1559692800

https://backpack.tf/item/7544688342

X = 4.5

Sale 2:

Sold for 4 keys + ~0.5 keys in metal

Seller: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198311498888#!/compare/1559433600/1559520000

Buyer: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198446606701#!/compare/1559433600/1559520000

https://backpack.tf/item/7132568209

X = 4.5

Other Sales:

https://backpack.tf/item/7544688342 (#1)

https://backpack.tf/item/6451685703 (#2)

https://backpack.tf/item/6395567375 (#3)

https://backpack.tf/item/6480623117 (#4 & #5)

https://backpack.tf/item/6372800689 - site bots

https://backpack.tf/item/6253039901 - scrap/gambled

https://backpack.tf/item/6479891056 - not unusual at the time

#1

Sold for Peace Mongolian?

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198230995084#!/compare/1560038400/1560124800

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198095902384#!/compare/1559952000/1560124800

Not convinced that it was a 1:1, I’m certain other items were involved.

#2

Untraceable

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198883188648#!/compare/1560902400/1560988800

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198334598690#!/compare/1560902400/1561593600

https://i.imgur.com/jTf9Fxt.png - labelled as a 3 key + 25 ref purchase.

#3

Untraceable, not all ref shows up

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198320650025#!/compare/1554076800/1561334400

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198841279602#!/compare/1561248000/1561334400

Would’ve been 3 keys + ~0.5 keys worth of metal, but some of the metal appears to have been used later that day.

#4

Untraceable

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198078223222#!/compare/1559260800/1559606400

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198396322888#!/compare/1559260800/1559347200

#5

Untraceable

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198396322888#!/compare/1560038400/1560124800

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198284111912#!/compare/1560038400/1560124800

https://i.imgur.com/jTf9Fxt.png - labelled as 4 keys

Probably sold to someone that gambled it away.

Sellers:

https://i.imgur.com/JuQ3uLf.png

https://backpack.tf/item/6395567375 - ~4.5 keys

https://backpack.tf/item/6451685703 - ~4.5 keys

https://backpack.tf/item/6253201878 - ~5.6 keys

Sales at:

4.5 (2x)

Should be lower, but this’ll suffice for now.

Taking 4.5 flat.