Suggestion: Death at Dusk Deep Cover Operator at 122 keys

Price Suggestion

Death at Dusk Deep Cover Operator

Submitted Mon, 29 Jul 19 13:01:11 +0000 by ★ Offline

96.05%

122 keys

~115 keys

d@d

73 votes up

3 votes down

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This suggestion was closed Mon, 16 Sep 19 18:06:03 +0000 by the submitter.

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Comments

sale 1;

https://marketplace.tf/items/tf2/30375;5;u90;strange https://backpack.tf/item/3322481387

July 24, 2019 sold for $220.00 / 1.80 = 122 keys

sale 2;

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198097451101#!/compare/1563926400/1564012800

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198216410464#!/compare/1563926400/1564012800

Buyout of 115 keys https://gyazo.com/406407b71115934cfadca36efaff508f

Sold for:

Cloud 9 Antarctic Eyewear - Three seller at 21 keys and two of them are bots at that, going with 21 keys https://gyazo.com/fa08be75ede1f55dfd7f41f7dea9f15b

Omniscient Orb Murderer's Motif - Upon receiving, he sold it to a bot https://backpack.tf/item/7857644178

https://marketplace.tf/items/tf2/31016;5;u120 Sales at 19,

https://gyazo.com/8ec8dda99de37b97b9030adcaf1956e5 Bots at 14 and 15,

Going with 14 keys for this

Clairvoyance Highway Star - In-date at 13 keys https://backpack.tf/suggestion/5d353ee16780724bb0661551

Max Head - 21 keys

Dead Head - 15 keys

Bills Head - 2 keys

This sale is 86 keys.

sale 3;

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198097451101#!/compare/1563753600/1563926400

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198156255538#!/compare/1563753600/1563840000

Duped Sunbeams Detective Noir + Purple Energy Armored Authority, one key was added to the Operator

Sunbeams Noir:

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198125791160#!/compare/1562716800/1562803200

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198097451101#!/compare/1562198400/1562803200

I don't know, but only had a buyout of 46 keys. Going with that. https://gyazo.com/ec97a89f11bb0d2d75abc16322640c23

PE Authority:

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198284124072#!/compare/1562284800/1562889600

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198097451101#!/compare/1562198400/1562803200

59 keys

Sales:

122 keys

86 keys

105 keys

The user who paid 105 keys went and sold it for 86 keys in items in 2 days. Excluding both as odd outliers...?

I had the dco for 3 months without a single offer at 120, I offered it on the noir and armored, and was very surprised he took my offer. In my eyes, 122 is prob the outlier tbh, but at the very least a range should be made with all sales.

As a general advice:

The rationale behind not using either sale when someone buys much higher than they resell for is that it is very likely that both sales are outliers; the high sale out of the two here is lower than your used sale - if your argument is that the high sale will end up too high, then 122 would also be too high :P

In these cases it is best to wait for more instead of relying on a single sale that is more extreme than either of the sales you considered outliers.

There are two new sales now, so that'll likely make this easier:

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198076113077#!/compare/1566432000/1566518400

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198100717662#!/compare/1566432000/1566518400

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198076113077#!/compare/1566518400/1566604800