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G'day.
purple energy good trump bad
The Sales:
Sale 1:
Sold for a Burning Lil' Snaggletooth and 10 keys.
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198845184643#!/compare/1561593600/1561680000
Snaggletooth Mini:
Sold for 32 keys pure.
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198143819507#!/compare/1561075200/1561161600
Also unsolds at 35. Taking 32 due to it being sold for pure and close to 35 regardless.
32 + 10 = 42 keys
Sale 2:
1:1 for a Vivid Plasma Tundra Top:
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198098286647#!/compare/1563840000/1564790400
Tundra Mini:
Sold with a PE Tavish's Crown for an Ether Trail Prehistoric Pullover.
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198071429938#!/compare/1560038400/1560124800
Taking 42 on the crown due to its seller.
76.5 - 42 = 34.5, rounding to 35
Also close to backpack price.
35 keys
Conclusion:
35 keys x 1
42 keys x 1
Seller at 41 proves current price is too high.
Taking 35-42 keys.
Feedback/additional sales appreciated.
Tundra mini is bulk
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198196524528#!/compare/1560470400/1560816000
Still 35 pure. Leaving as it is.
You are missing a good amount of sales
---
Sale #3 - 39 keys (user quicksold the tyro to rubi for the keys)
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198337734785#!/compare/1560556800/1560643200
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198886167680#!/compare/1560470400/1560643200
Sale #4 - 45 keys
https://gyazo.com/3357d6ca4d4478d66cb658bb9f3f6570
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198886167680#!/compare/1561161600/1561334400
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198040186479#!/compare/1561248000/1561334400
Sale #5 - 1 for 1 with scorching scout shako
https://gyazo.com/29e7f21ede9da045e6470919820edc3f
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198040186479#!/compare/1562371200/1562457600
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198216553117#!/compare/1562371200/1562457600
my B/O was 45 keys
Sale #6 - Sold with 3~ keys in adds for a Gateway Handcraft
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198094832204#!/compare/1562371200/1562457600
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198216553117#!/compare/1562371200/1562457600
Sale #7 - 35 keys + KaW DeGroot
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198119634686#!/compare/1558224000/1558310400
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198253384474#!/compare/1558310400/1558396800
Sale #8 - Untrace
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198080179568#!/compare/1560643200/1560729600
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198152293052#!/compare/1560556800/1560729600
Sale #9 - Untrace
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198302451811#!/compare/1559260800/1559347200
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198073438708#!/compare/1559260800/1559347200
Sale #10 - 1 for 1 with strange slumber toadstool
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198850683642#!/compare/1560643200/1560729600
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198302451811#!/compare/1560297600/1560729600
Sale #11 - Sold with 1 key for a Exorcism pro ks ausi wrench
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198141455733#!/compare/1560729600/1560816000
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198850683642#!/compare/1560729600/1560816000
Sale #12 - SCM
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198302451811#!/compare/1560988800/1561075200
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198141455733#!/compare/1560988800/1561075200
Sale #13 - Untrace
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198302451811#!/compare/1561593600/1561680000
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198131081286#!/compare/1561593600/1561680000
Sale #14 - 45 keys
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198845184643#!/compare/1561766400/1561939200
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198850683642#!/compare/1561852800/1561939200
----
This suggestion will need a whole rework
Sale #3: Item IDs don't match on second link, nor with the cannonball against the 39 keys. Unless I've done something wrong, I'm going to exclude it.
Sale #4: I saw 2 hats and a handful of keys in the first compare link, but that trade image obviously proves the 45 key sale. Including.
Sale #5: Taking said buyout of 45k. Including.
Sale #6: The Handcraft has a current seller at 43 keys. Based off that, the Cannonball would be valued at ~40 keys, however due to unreliability I'm going to exclude it. (unable to see past sell order snapshots)
Sale #7: An older sale, (bordering 3 months), so it may be high. If other sales follow suit I will include it.
Sale #8: Untrace as mentioned.
Sale #9: 33 keys removed, ~2 keys of items bought. Taking 31.
Sale #10: Taking 29.
Sale #11: Currently 36.3k, considering Exorcism adds up to a key, I'll take 37k.
Sale #12: Unusable.
Sale #13: Unusable.
Sale #14: Second link has no keys at all, but first link has the 45 pure.
From mine: 35, 42
From Vincentius: 29, 31, 37, 45, 45, 45 (+ 48.5 older sale)
Currently 29 - 48.5.
Excluding 48.5 due to old sale and countered by 41 and 50 sellers.
This will need a resuggestion as mentioned. Would 29-45 be too wide? Or should I exclude the two lower sales and take 35-45?
Thanks to Vincentius for the additional sales.
Almost all of those sales are more then just a quick "fix"
Sale #10 needs a mini on the toad
Sale #7 is still valid
Sale #11, spells are not that easy on australiums and should be micro'd
Sale #14, keys were used to buy stuff already but it was 45 keys
Sale #5, scout shako needs to be mini'd
Sale #6, handcraft should be mini'd
Sale #3, keys were used before they got logged in the account, still a valid sale
Thanks for the help. I would go 35-45 here