Example Suggestion

Brain Drain Mann-O-War

History with sales #1

https://backpack.tf/item/7251999829

Sale 1:

Sold on June 21st

Therefore open both inventories and select 2 dates somewhere around the date of the sale, this can differ by a couple days

When done copy paste both links:

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198084126218#!/compare/1560988800/1561075200

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198068513116#!/compare/1560988800/1561075200

As you can see one guy got a Frostbite Desert Marauder and the hat we are trying to price, keys dont show up in his inv bcs he probably bought the keys on marketplace or something, doesnt matter

When we open the other guys inventory we see that he recieved 90 Keys for both hats

To confirm this we open the history of the Key and check - https://i.imgur.com/2vEhGQg.png

matches, good

Sadly we cant use this sale to price the hat though, as we dont know how much the Mann o War was valued at

No other sales on this history, onto the next one.

History #2

https://backpack.tf/item/7828310694

dumped on scrap.tf, bought from there after a couple of days, then dumped on tf2mart

nothing usable here

History #3

https://backpack.tf/item/7297366456

seems like it sold on marketplace, lets check

currently none listed so we have to trick a bit

look up any unusual variant of the hat:

https://marketplace.tf/items/tf2/31008;5;u114

the last couple digits after the u are the effect number

The effect number for brain drain is 111

as you can find out my checking the bp.tf stats page - https://backpack.tf/stats/Unusual/Mann-O-War/Tradable/Craftable/111

last number

So we get the following:

https://marketplace.tf/items/tf2/31008;5;u111

bunch of sales, ez clap

Sale 2-4:

https://marketplace.tf/items/tf2/31008;5;u111

Aug 27 - 27USD ~ 15 Keys

Aug 3 - 17USD ~ 9.5 Keys

Jul 23 - 29.96USD ~ 17 Keys

avg price of a key was 1.81 on aug 7

therefore 27/1.81 ~ 14.9, rounding to 15 Keys

on aug 3 ~ 1.82, therefore 9.3 ish keys, rounds to 9/9.5

low as there are buyers at 9.6 on classies

on Jul 23rd ~1.8 so ~ 16.6 Keys

looks like strife bought it via buyorder, doesnt matter though

couple of other sales from other histories, doesnt matter, we will just list them here

Sale 5:

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561197972383519#!/compare/1565222400/1565308800

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198153268708#!/compare/1544659200/1565395200

Strife seems to have resold it for cash, doesnt matter, untraceable

History #4

https://backpack.tf/item/7311942500

Sale 6:

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198853675855#!/compare/1561852800/1562025600

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198309785883#!/compare/1559520000/1564876800

Keys do not match, untraceable

History #5

https://backpack.tf/item/7271503215

Sale 7:

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198017460423#!/compare/1562630400/1562803200

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198089253101#!/compare/1562544000/1562630400

bulk with vintage max hat, not usable

next sale is with a banned user/scammer, not usable

then calo traded it to tw1x, who then gave it back, not usable

calo then sold to "trade.tf"

Sale 8:

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198078373457#!/compare/1563235200/1563321600

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198205939253#!/compare/1563235200/1563321600

Like 4 Keys match, sadly the hat resold in the same day and we can only compare days, so this is untraceable

trade.tf then resold again in the same day, so again untrace

Sale 9:

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198120672630#!/compare/1563235200/1563321600

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561197978500506#!/compare/1563321600/1563408000

1:1 with the Blizzardy Storm Hottie's Hoodie

The suggestion on the Hoodie is 4 months old, so we need a mini or a full suggestion, will only do a mini here to keep it simple

https://bot.tf/stats/listings/4PP7VP86

the buyout was 13 keys

Mini Hoodie:

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198091267468#!/compare/1562976000/1563062400

added 4.5 to a Circling Heart Trucker's Topper

makes 15

therefore the sale caps at the buyout of 13

Sale 10:

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561197978500506#!/compare/1564617600/1564704000

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198048691505#!/compare/1561680000/1564704000

bulky/better used on shaman

Sale 11:

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198048691505#!/compare/1564704000/1564790400

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198110248446#!/compare/1564704000/1564790400

untrace

Sales:

9.5 - low due to buyers

13 - items

15 - marketplace

17 - marketplace

Sellers:

https://i.imgur.com/7hg8n7g.png

3 days at 11

6 days at 12

25 obv high

buyers at 9.6

Including 12 as low end

going with 12-15, cutting 17 due to sellers