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Team 5 Day 2 - BlazingParte
Sale 1:
https://backpack.tf/item/5796262259
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198097102281#!/compare/1559606400/1559692800
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198306288794#!/compare/1559606400/1559692800
Bulky (96 keys for the Cap + another hat)
Sale 2:
https://backpack.tf/item/5796262259
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198927172159#!/compare/1559606400/1559692800
(other side is unclear)
Bulky
Sale 3:
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198337734785#!/compare/1562371200/1562457600
(other side is unclear)
untraceable
Buy orders: https://bot.tf/stats/listings/Y95EE2N4
Note: some trades here (https://backpack.tf/item/6221413485) are ignored due to a steamrep user's involvment in these trades.
Marketplace.tf sales (4-6):
https://marketplace.tf/items/tf2/30846;5;u29 (Stormy Storm Plumber's Cap)
https://marketplace.tf/items/tf2/5021;6 (Key prices)
https://backpack.tf/item/5796262259 (May 31)
= $89.99 / $1.81
= 49.71...
~ 50 keys (no b/o found)
https://backpack.tf/item/6039894041 & https://backpack.tf/item/6221413485
= $80 / $1.83 (Jul 7)
= 43.71...
= 44 keys
= $85 / $1.83 (Jul 8)
= 46.45...
= 46 keys
Both had b/o of 55 keys but will be capped at the price they sold for (https://bot.tf/stats/listings/4JV0EP74)
Sale 7:
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198326990029#!/compare/1559260800/1559347200 (wasn't bought on marketplace, no mptf sales match)
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198119149660#!/compare/1559260800/1559347200
= Sunbeams Frenchman's Beret (36 keys)
= 36 keys (Buy orders at 37 keys: https://bot.tf/stats/listings/YDJ8G8RY )
Sale 8:
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198002757046#!/compare/1558828800/1558915200
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198326990029#!/compare/1558915200/1559001600
2 keys (untraceable)
Sale 9:
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198002757046#!/compare/1558656000/1558742400
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198839259306#!/compare/1558656000/1558742400
Untraceable
Sellers: https://imgur.com/a/MyJusCj
45 keys: https://backpack.tf/item/5796262259
45 keys: https://backpack.tf/item/6221413485
Summary of key sales: 36, 44, 46, 50
Conclusion: pricing at 44-46 keys, excluding the sale at 36 keys due to being below buy orders at the time.
Youve reasoned the exclusion of 36, but why is 50 not in your range?
We excluded sale 50 because there are 2 sellers selling the hat at 45 keys and we kept 46 keys in because it's not too far off 45 keys. Also, it would be ideal io keep 46 in rather than do 44 flat due to there being 4 different sales where we could get prices from.
That's reasonable. I wouldn't have mind 50 in the range here given how close those sales are together, but this works too. Just wanted to ask since you listed it in your summary, but did not have it in your range :P