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Born to Run? More like Born to Range... Yea, crummy.
Sale 1:
https://backpack.tf/item/4101107206
Untraceable
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198973894950#!/compare/1565740800/1565913600
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561197994783413#!/compare/1565740800/1565913600
Sale 2:
https://backpack.tf/item/4150307154
This suggestion was planned for the event, but wasn't submitted, during the past 2 days this hat was sold again, but ended up being untraceable.
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198208760595#!/compare/1565827200/1565913600
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198287198615#!/compare/1565827200/1566000000
Marketplace Sales
https://marketplace.tf/items/tf2/30636;5;u9
Sale 3:
https://backpack.tf/item/4150307154 (The other recent sales are untraceable)
Sold on Aug 16th for $99.99, Keys were $1.83 USD at the time
Rounding to 55 Keys
Sale 4 & 5:
History for one of the sales, other is untraceable https://backpack.tf/item/4111226232
Sold on Jun 2nd for $149.99 x2, Keys were $1.81 USD at the time
Rounding to 83 Keys
Going with 55-83 Keys
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561197994783413#!/compare/1566604800/1566691200 another sale here around your low end. With a month unsold at 50, 2 months at 75 and another seller at 59, I think 83 will end up an outlier now.