Suggestion: Anti-Freeze Killer Exclusive at 580–675 keys

Price Suggestion

~1350 keys

anti-freeze

62 votes up

3 votes down

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This suggestion was accepted Sun, 06 Oct 19 16:04:40 +0000 by polar.

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Comments

Doot doola doot doo

https://backpack.tf/item/3229077442

Sale 1) Sold for a Beams Mining Light (175 Keys) + HG Pyromancer's (140 Keys) + Duped Secret Drill (125 Keys) + GBH Head Warmer (73 Keys) + DBD Brainiac (69 Keys)

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561197994697258#!/compare/1561075200/1561161600

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198331167728#!/compare/1561075200/1561161600

175 + 140 + 125 + 73 + 69 = 582, which I'll round to 580 Keys

Drill Mini

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198371355837#!/compare/1559433600/1559520000 - Sold for a Duped Cloudy Moon Attendant (no Mini)

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198012715788#!/compare/1561766400/1561939200 - Sold for a PE Flamenco (95.5 Keys) + 24 Keys + ~5 Keys of Items

95.5 + 24 + 5 = 124.5, which rounds to 125 Keys

Flamenco Micro

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561197994697258#!/compare/1562544000/1562630400 - Sold for a Haunted Ghosts Brotherhood of Arms

https://imgur.com/a/JEF4aLm - The Brotherhood sale is capped by the buyout of 110 Keys

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198012715788#!/compare/1560816000/1560902400 - Sold for a Sunbeams Festive Tree + Scorching Head Hedge

https://marketplace.tf/items/tf2/627;5;u10 - Sold for $146.50 when Keys were ~$1.81 each

https://marketplace.tf/items/tf2/5021;6

146.50 / 1.81 = 80.94, which rounds to 81 Keys

Taking 81 - 110 Keys

Head Warmer Mini

https://backpack.tf/suggestion/5d5b0bee678072451d76e783 - 73 Keys

Sale 2) Sold + 49 Keys for a Sunbeams Killer Exclusive

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198331167728#!/compare/1564358400/1564790400

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198043826027#!/compare/1564704000/1564790400

Using for the Sunbeams Killer Exclusive

https://backpack.tf/item/1652562790

Sale 3) Sold + Bubbling Antlers + 3 Unusual Taunts for a Knifestorm Dr's Dapper Topper

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198093765029#!/compare/1564012800/1564099200

Better for the Dapper.

Sale 4) Sold + Misty Phantom + Terror-Watt Polar Pullover + GE Pith Helmet + Screaming Tiger Jumping Jack for a Purple Energy Mask of the Shaman

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198129552058#!/compare/1564099200/1564185600

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561197993987295#!/compare/1564099200/1564185600

Better for the Shaman.

Sale 5) Sold for a C9 VVF (190 Keys) + Duped TW Polar + Heart Stash + C9 BoA + 4 Unusual Taunts + ~33 Keys of Items + 5 Keys

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561197993987295#!/compare/1564617600/1564704000

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198062611321#!/compare/1564617600/1564704000

Excluding this sale because of what the buyer sold for in Sale 6.

Sale 6) Sold for a Knifestorm Vintage Merryweather (120.5 Keys) + Phosphorous Pyromancer's Mask

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198062611321#!/compare/1565049600/1565481600

https://backpack.tf/suggestion/5d4fbbc3d381724acd0112e6 - Being used for the Pyromancer, but still, not a good sale.

Sale 7) Sold for ~800 - 900 Keys of Towering Pillars of Hats

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198160856661#!/compare/1565481600/1565568000

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198104061772#!/compare/1565481600/1565568000

https://cdn.discordapp.com/attachments/250356056855674880/613136587269865473/unknown.png - Thanks, Torb

https://imgur.com/a/YoIqfQW - Capped by the Buyout of 675 Keys

Sale 8) Sold + 10 Keys for a Sunbeams Crone's Dome

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198104061772#!/compare/1565740800/1565827200

Using for the Crone's.

https://mannco.trade/?logged=0.7025190657156724 - For sale for ~557 Keys

https://imgur.com/a/QPSyzbZ

Dunno if this should be the low end or support for a drop.

New sale:

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198007159069#!/compare/1566345600/1566432000

everything put into mp.tf after trade so doesnt show up in history: https://marketplace.tf/shop/76561198026129220

Salty Dog is updated at 300, Broom is outdated with Buyers ~40, Minigun is outdated with a Buyer at 40, The Mannrobics is outdated with a Buyer at 35, and the Pomp is updated at 109.5 Keys. That puts the sale ~525 Keys without the Well-Wrapped Hat getting priced.

https://imgur.com/a/1ocC4QF - Minigun

https://backpack.tf/u/76561198002757046 Minigun Buyer

https://imgur.com/a/HpgLrVp - Broom

https://backpack.tf/u/76561198108608612 - Broom Buyer #1

https://backpack.tf/u/76561198155110999 - Broom Buyer #2

https://imgur.com/a/dlopuNl - Mannrobics

https://backpack.tf/u/76561198040073503 - Mannrobics Buyer

https://imgur.com/a/5HBGS98 - Well Wrapped

https://backpack.tf/u/76561198056793444 - Well Wrapped Buyer

The Strange Blizzardy Well-Wrapped has no Mini, but there's a regular Buyer at 44, so that puts the sale ~570.

Can't imagine the Strange would be drastically lower than regular.

https://imgur.com/a/tYRNWyr - The Buyout for this KE sale was 675 Keys, so I doubt the sale will end up out of the range.

Thanks!

Hey there!

There was also 55keys involved:

https://gyazo.com/ffcf0d087043cea0c5e13b1623f66500

Ive sold the mannrob for 54:

https://gyazo.com/50f4295eb8e1c3561bf476d072ff6199

Broom has a recent sale at 105$ on mp.tf so thats ~57keys

Non strange well wrapped is priced at 70-105keys and Ive sold one for 151$ in the past, so going with a 44 buyer seems to be meh even if the price might need to be refreshed.

While the buyout was at 675, your pricing places the sale as a support for the bottom of your range while I dont think it should be seen as that.

Using my sale for the sunbeams ke? As I know sunbeams ke price is indate and more recent. This AF ke is outdated. You should use that sale for this hat coz I overpaid for this one. Buyer considered sunbeams ke at 800 and I considered AF ke at 750.

If I take 685 for the Sunbeams KE (the AF KE -> Sunbeams KE sale doesn't set the range for the Sunbeams KE, but rather falls in the middle of the range) yields 636 Keys here. Still doesn't change either range.

The 525 sale for the Sunbeams KE happened within a week of your AF KE -> Sunbeams KE sale, so it's not that that sale happened a long time after that would suggest the old value for the Sunbeams KE being valid.

New sale

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561197991111981#!/compare/1569369600/1569456000