This suggestion was marked as bad evidence and closed
by Mindacos.
There should always be enough evidence to back up the new proposed value.
However, it appears that the evidence is not strong enough, or cherry-picked
in a way that does not represent the actual market value of the item.
Therefore, this suggestion has been closed.
Comments can no longer be left on this suggestion.
I'm pretty sure scrap.tf pays more than this, downvoted
Oh boy, where do I even begin with this one.
To start off with, your first sale is wrong. Assuming this is a scrap.tf sale, it makes no logical sense that this would be a 1:1. Keys should have been added in scrap.tf's end to make up for the lost value. And if those keys cannot be traced, it makes this sale invalid.
Your second sale is also wrong. It didn't sell for 15 Keys, but for 31 Keys. You can see this is the case by looking at your second comparison link, all the histories match.
All those untraceable "sales" you posted were from gambling sites, so they're irrelevant for the time being.
Normally I'd be more lenient when it comes to these sort of mistakes, but the red flags were everywhere. And I think the biggest one was the fact that you're dropping this by 4 times it's current value. When you end up doing that looks as drastic as this, you will need to doublecheck your own proof to make sure you got everything right, and it doesn't look like this was the case here.
You can make a range with the pure and hoodie sale of 24-31. Resuggest at that.
Only took 4 years!
https://backpack.tf/item/7957612433
Sale 1: Sold the hat for a Skill Gotten Gains Taunt: Kazotsky Kick: 12-15 Keys
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198425714292#!/compare/1565654400/1566000000
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198135388328#!/compare/1565827200/1566000000
Mini-Price Suggest for the taunt:
https://marketplace.tf/items/tf2/1157;5;u3007
Sale 1: Sold for 24$ (Taunt)
Key Price: 1.83$
24 / 1.83 = 13 Keys
https://marketplace.tf/items/tf2/1157;5;u3007
Sale 2: Sold for 25.68$ (Taunt)
Key Price: 1.83$
25.68 / 1.83 = 14 Keys
https://marketplace.tf/items/tf2/1157;5;u3007
Sale 3: Sold for 21.05$ (Taunt)
Key Price: 1.82$
21.05 / 1.82 = 12 Keys
(Much more sales on marketplace besides these that are similar)
https://backpack.tf/item/6997656319
Sale 4: Sold for 15 keys (Taunt)
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198323565601#!/compare/1564012800/1564185600
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198089253101#!/compare/1564012800/1564185600
https://backpack.tf/item/5841972689
Sale 5: Sold for 11 keys (Taunt)
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198037782799?time=1566332596
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198340634356?time=1566341664 (Searching Skill Gotten Gains Kazotsky Kick will help find it easier.)
(More sales to go around too.)
https://backpack.tf/item/7956295897
Sale 2: Sold for 15 keys (Hat)
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198092787248#!/compare/1565827200/1566086400
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198169939863#!/compare/1566000000/1566086400
some more info
https://backpack.tf/item/7956295897
Sale 3: Sold for a Vivid Plasma Hottie's Hoodie (24 keys)
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198144120574#!/compare/1566345600/1566432000
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198157765574#!/compare/1566259200/1566345600 (Sold the hoodie quickly so it won't show it entering or leaving his inventory.)
https://backpack.tf/item/7956295897
Sale 4: Bulk Sale
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198205939253#!/compare/1566604800/1566691200
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198973894950#!/compare/1566691200/1566777600 (Doesn't show items leaving inventory...)
https://backpack.tf/item/7956295897
Sale: ?
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198144120574#!/compare/1566604800/1566691200
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198870453692#!/compare/1566518400/1566604800
https://backpack.tf/item/7956295897
Sale: ?
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198870453692#!/compare/1566604800/1566691200
https://backpack.tf/item/7956295897
Sale: ?
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198287198615#!/compare/1566604800/1566691200
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198973894950#!/compare/1566691200/1566777600
https://backpack.tf/item/7956295897
Sale: ?
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198205939253#!/compare/1566691200/1566777600
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198059797730#!/compare/1566691200/1566777600
https://backpack.tf/item/7956295897
Sale: ?
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198059797730#!/compare/1566777600/1566864000
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198973894950#!/compare/1566691200/1566864000
https://backpack.tf/item/7956295897
Sale: ?
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198973894950#!/compare/1566691200/1566864000
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198205939253#!/compare/1566691200/1566777600
https://backpack.tf/item/7956295897
Sale: ?
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198059797730#!/compare/1566777600/1566864000
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198973894950#!/compare/1566777600/1566864000
No changes yet; 24 may be an outlier but we need more time to figure that out
No new sales other than this unknown one:
https://backpack.tf/item/7956295897
Sale: ?
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198973894950#!/compare/1567900800/1567987200
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198156733777#!/compare/1567814400/1567987200
https://backpack.tf/item/7956295897
Sale: ?
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198973894950#!/compare/1568073600/1568160000
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198046393528#!/compare/1567987200/1568073600
https://backpack.tf/item/7956295897
Sale: Bulk?
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198046393528#!/compare/1568073600/1568160000
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198912836088#!/compare/1568073600/1568160000
https://backpack.tf/item/7956295897
Sale: ?
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198912836088#!/compare/1569024000/1569110400
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198135388328#!/compare/1569024000/1569110400
Oh boy, where do I even begin with this one.
To start off with, your first sale is wrong. Assuming this is a scrap.tf sale, it makes no logical sense that this would be a 1:1. Keys should have been added in scrap.tf's end to make up for the lost value. And if those keys cannot be traced, it makes this sale invalid.
Your second sale is also wrong. It didn't sell for 15 Keys, but for 31 Keys. You can see this is the case by looking at your second comparison link, all the histories match.
All those untraceable "sales" you posted were from gambling sites, so they're irrelevant for the time being.
So you're left with sales at ???(Kazotsky), 24(hoodie) and 31(Pure). As well as two potential(albeit unusable) 28 Key scrap.tf sales: https://backpack.tf/item/7956295897 + https://backpack.tf/item/7957612433
Normally I'd be more lenient when it comes to these sort of mistakes, but the red flags were everywhere. And I think the biggest one was the fact that you're dropping this by 4 times it's current value. When you end up doing that looks as drastic as this, you will need to doublecheck your own proof to make sure you got everything right, and it doesn't look like this was the case here.
You can make a range with the pure and hoodie sale of 24-31. Resuggest at that.