Suggestion: Miami Nights Law at 63–75 keys

49 is a clear outlier, well under what bots were paying before the crate depression (see july ss in selling) and a new unbox sale which typically are low. Using the rest

Final Price: 63 - 75 keys

Sale 4) History matches with the Aussies he bought but looks low/incomplete regardless

Two clean sellers at lower.

https://gyazo.com/b42df69b5d2b44d732c8d258c45374cb

Another sale. Sold for 90 on august 28 (90/1.81 = 49.72 rounding to 49 keys

https://marketplace.tf/items/tf2/30362;5;u61

That's now two sales at 49. You should include 49. If it was me, I would do 49-63, 75 is awfully high here.

You mentioned that 49 is an outlier, but those bots were paying more BEFORE the crate depression. This is now AFTER.

That crate depression will not be reverted, and the market has changed since.

More sales:

Quicksold for 38 Keys

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198109451379#!/compare/1566604800/1566691200

Sold for $89.99(~49 Keys using 1.82 value) and $85(~47 Keys using 1.82 value)

https://marketplace.tf/items/tf2/30362;5;u61

Quicksold for 33 Keys

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198064492544#!/compare/1564963200/1567814400

Sold for 35 Keys, a Stormy Storm Sinner's Shade(9.75 Keys) and a TOD Ticket(~45 Keys total)

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198094466013#!/compare/1568332800/1568419200

Added 1 Key for a Morning Glory Officer's Ushanka(Outdated at 50 Keys)

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198442272468#!/compare/1568505600/1568592000

Supports drop, but should be used there.

Sold for a Purple Energy Napper's Respite(Outdated at 42)

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198218379705#!/compare/1568592000/1568851200

Sold for:

-Aces High Rotation Sensation(Outdated at 27)

-Aces High Fed-Fightin' Fedora(Outdated at 20)

-Searing Plasma Doctor's Sack(Outdated at 14.5)

-Aces High Gridiron Guardian(Outdated at 10)

-1 Key

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198094466013#!/compare/1567900800/1567987200

I have to agree with surs here. The market changed after the crate depression, and these sales are proof of it.

You should mini the napper's and the 4 hats on the last sale, as it's very likely that the napper's will be the low end and the 4 hat sale will be the high end(or at the very least, that it'd support the tesla salty as the high end). After that, we can think of a range around the 45-63 value.