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Cloud 9 Cotton Head
Submitted by pf⚡
~40.5 keys
cloud 9
Unusual Cotton Head Cloud 9
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14 new c9 cotton heads in existence wow


1) Marketplace.tf : https://marketplace.tf/items/tf2/30175;5;u58


a) Jul 20 , $75/1.81 = 41.4 keys

b) Aug 18 , $50/1.84 = 27.2 keys -> not going to use it, its from the day the glitched hats became tradable


2) Sale #3 invalid


https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561197992953927#!/compare/1565136000/1566000000

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198018633251#!/compare/1564272000/1566086400


Sale #4


https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198334712990#!/compare/1565827200/1565913600

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198334712990#!/compare/1565827200/1565913600

quicksold


Sale 5


https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198045358232#!/compare/1566172800/1566259200 21 keys

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198314620824#!/compare/1566086400/1566345600

probably low, from glitched crate


Sale 6


https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198259347037#!/compare/1560643200/1560902400

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198081308147#!/compare/1560643200/1560902400

clean orb planets crone’s dome, outlier


Sale 7


https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561197984688600#!/compare/1562371200/1562889600

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198081361662#!/compare/1562803200/1562889600

vivid plasma crit cloak


Sale 8


https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198011321852#!/compare/1561161600/1561248000

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198081361662#!/compare/1561161600/1561248000

36 keys


Sale 9


https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198011321852#!/compare/1558656000/1558742400

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198119225304#!/compare/1558742400/1559260800

bulk for sunbeams rotation sentation


conclusion


Keeping 27 -36 keys,

-21 keys was an outlier,

-41 keys wont seems to happen due to the ammount of sellers below that

-27 keys was from the day the glitched hats became tradable, so i just preffer to wait for how the market responds to the new ammount of this hat


also

https://imgur.com/FYUdzSX unsold for 4 days but no counting cause its poorly bumped

    Just updating.


    Sold for cloud9 texas tin gallon + bubbling winter woodsman

    https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198189381361#!/compare/1566604800/1566691200

    https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198053912903#!/compare/1566604800/1566691200

    Both hats are outdated.


    Sold for pe toy soldier + 2 keys

    https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198002757046#!/compare/1568419200/1568505600

    https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561197972404012#!/compare/1568419200/1568505600

    Buyout was 23 keys

    https://bot.tf/stats/listings/4PP5ZJ5E

    Current sellers for the toy soldier

    https://gyazo.com/79376aac6a3c50382f1c2070eaebd81f


    Bulk for dbd mohawk

    https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198154446225#!/compare/1568073600/1568246400

    https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198002757046#!/compare/1568160000/1568246400


    Likely sold for 24 keys + 5 refined

    https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198861619370#!/compare/1567036800/1567296000

    https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198154446225#!/compare/1567209600/1567296000

    Histories don't match though.


    Sold for 21 keys

    https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198193434709#!/compare/1566691200/1566777600

    https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198304302520#!/compare/1566691200/1566777600


    Likely sold for 27 keys

    https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198337734785#!/compare/1569628800/1569715200

    https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198047445236#!/compare/1569542400/1569715200

    Buyout was 29 keys

    https://bot.tf/stats/listings/4OVDOQQJ


    Sold for 50 on September 16

    https://marketplace.tf/items/tf2/30175;5;u58

    50/1.81 = 27.62 rounding to 28 keys


    Current classifieds

    https://gyazo.com/f63777ab80a3aa1a5d2a889e0bf92d1f


    Seems like 36 is quite high according to the sales here.

      I have to agree here. The current sellers seem to support the need for a bigger drop here.


      With how it's looking, i'd go with 24-28.