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This unusual needs a price update, hasn't had one for two years
3 days ago, sold (with .5 keys in sweets) for terror-watt vodoo juju (11-12 keys) <--- check mini at bottom
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198061632666#!/compare/1566086400/1566172800
6 days ago Sale for 10 keys + some ref
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198050034938#!/compare/1565827200/1565913600
8 days ago sold for smoking air dog (11 keys) + rancho relaxo (.5 keys) ???? <- this one is sketch/might not have happened
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198887875042#!/compare/1565654400/1565740800
Strange variant sold for a mere 13 pure
https://backpack.tf/suggestion/5d5efcdcd3817210454a465b
Overall, this hat sold at 10,11.5???<-possibly not,and 16 keys , along with the strange one selling for 13 pure.
Thus i propose the new range 10-12 keys.
Voodoo Juju Mini (new price 11-12 keys)
https://backpack.tf/suggestion/5d5f0b78d3817218235b4e0c
Your first sale is with a scammer. Trades with scammers aren't valid for suggestions.
Your third sale wasn't for the Airdog and Rancho. If you check the histories of those, they don't come from the scrap.tf bot.
As I mentioned in the Juju suggestion, scrap.tf sales aren't the best to use, so that sale can be excluded anyway. Same goes for the second sale.
https://backpack.tf/item/7245173537
https://marketplace.tf/items/tf2/30313;5;u32 - Sale at $33 when Keys were $1.81 each
https://marketplace.tf/items/tf2/5021;6
33 / 1.81 = 18.23, which rounds to 18 Keys
https://imgur.com/a/xm1h2PS - Capped by the Buyout of 16 Keys
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198061632666#!/compare/1565913600/1566086400 - Another sale
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198046393528#!/compare/1565913600/1566000000 - Untrace
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198046393528#!/compare/1566691200/1566777600 - Untrace
That sale was after this suggestion I'm pretty sure.
It wasn't. Even if it were, it'd still be a valid sale. That sale is capped by the Buyout of 14 Keys -> https://imgur.com/a/rb66lgp
https://mannco.store/item/13628 - 2 Sellers at 15 Keys support 16 being too high.
https://imgur.com/a/aqsv6XL
https://backpack.tf/item/7710728638
https://backpack.tf/item/7814518018
Closing because my comment ruling against the sales used here was made soon after the suggestion was made.