We are the lost and the silent. We are the shackled and small. We're looking up at the giants. We're going to watch when they fall...

https://backpack.tf/item/276643541

Sale 1) Sold for a Festivized Specialized Killstreak Australium Rocket Launcher (~39 Keys) + 7 Keys

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198137040602#!/compare/1562112000/1562457600

39 + 7 = 46 Keys

Sale 2) Sold + Max's Severed Head (~21 Keys) for a Burning Flames Powdered Practitioner

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198190514893#!/compare/1562630400/1562803200

This should drop the Practitioner.

Sale 3) Sold for 48 Keys

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198141455733#!/compare/1563667200/1563926400

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561197991916377#!/compare/1561420800/1563840000

IDs match.

Sale 4) Bulk sale for an Ooze Hong Kong Cone

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561197991916377#!/compare/1564790400/1564876800

Sale 5) ?

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198232041512#!/compare/1565395200/1565481600

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561197960374438#!/compare/1565395200/1565481600

https://backpack.tf/item/963482200

Sale 6) ?

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198066877881#!/compare/1558915200/1559001600

Sale 7) Sold for 43 Keys

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198337734785#!/compare/1559088000/1559174400

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198073176682#!/compare/1559174400/1559260800

IDs match and the Buyout was 43 Keys -> https://imgur.com/a/ZgUbGur

Sale 8) Bulk sale for a Bubbling Head Prize

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198151835897#!/compare/1560211200/1560297600

Sale 9) Sold for a Smoking Crone's Dome (37.5 Keys) + Strange Balloonihoodie (~11.5 Keys)

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198258264645#!/compare/1561161600/1561248000

37.5 + 11.5 = 49 Keys

Crone's Mini

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198832602199#!/compare/1559174400/1559260800 - Sold for 35 Keys

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198063899088#!/compare/1559433600/1559692800 - Sold for 36 Keys

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198063899088#!/compare/1559692800/1559865600 - Sold for 40 Keys

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198070799623#!/compare/1559865600/1559952000 - Sold for a Tesla Coil Dark Falkirk Helm (36 Keys)

https://cdn.discordapp.com/attachments/250356056855674880/614978943115722753/unknown.png - Pending sale for 35 Keys (Thanks, Torb)

https://marketplace.tf/items/tf2/920;5;u35 - Sold for $83.99 (high) and $66.23 when Keys were ~$1.80 each

https://marketplace.tf/items/tf2/5021;6

66.23 / 1.80 = 36.79, which rounds to 37 Keys

Taking 35 - 40 Keys for the Smoking Crone's Dome

Sale 10) Bulk sale for a Spellbound Sergeant's Drill Hat

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198241303512#!/compare/1561680000/1561766400

Sale 11) Sold for 42 Keys + 2 Refined

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198132226518#!/compare/1561939200/1562025600

Rounds to 42 Keys

Sale 12) Sold for 47 Keys

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198119634686#!/compare/1564617600/1564790400

Not including because the buyer sold for much less in Sale 13

Sale 13) Sold for 34 Keys + 5 Refined

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198066877881#!/compare/1565913600/1566000000

Sale 14) Sold for 33 Keys in a day

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198337734785#!/compare/1566000000/1566086400

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198141505774#!/compare/1566000000/1566086400

https://imgur.com/a/OblSjjR

https://marketplace.tf/items/tf2/314;5;u14 - Sold for $63.19 when Keys were ~$1.82 each

https://marketplace.tf/items/tf2/5021;6

63.19 / 1.82 = 34.72, which rounds to 35 Keys

https://webcache.googleusercontent.com/search?q=cache:g1PYBvvWsr8J:https://backpack.tf/stats/Unusual/Larrikin%2520Robin/Tradable/Craftable/14+&cd=1&hl=en&ct=clnk&gl=us

The Robin wasn't listed as of 8/21, so I feel this sale was a quicksell.

https://imgur.com/a/vbdR5IA - Young Seller at 45 Keys

https://backpack.tf/item/963482200

Since the person who paid 47 in Sale 12 sold to zol for 34 in Sale 13 who then sold for 33 in a day in Sale 14, I'm excluding all of these sales.

I feel these sales (13 and 14) were panic sales due to the unboxings and buyer listing removals.