Sale 1:

Sold for 51 keys + ~1 key in metal

Seller: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198305676157#!/compare/1561593600/1561680000

Buyer: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198089253101#!/compare/1561593600/1561680000

https://backpack.tf/item/933158534

https://i.imgur.com/sprMCQe.png - bot.tf confirms

X = 52

Sale 2:

Sold for 48 keys

Seller: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198119634686#!/compare/1559174400/1559260800

Buyer: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198118586051#!/compare/1559174400/1559260800

https://backpack.tf/item/933158534

X = 48

Sale 3:

Sold to a bot for 46 keys + 25 ref

Seller: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561197992659090#!/compare/1559520000/1559779200

Buyer: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198305676157#!/compare/1559692800/1559779200

https://backpack.tf/item/933158534

https://i.imgur.com/sprMCQe.png - bot.tf confirms

X = 46

Sale 4:

Sold to a bot for 46 keys + 13 ref

Seller: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198024579009#!/compare/1561507200/1561593600

Buyer: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198080179568#!/compare/1561507200/1561593600

https://backpack.tf/item/606980891

Sold to the buyer’s bot, the transferred to the buyer before being scanned in the bot’s backpack.

X = 46

Sale 5:

Sold to a bot for 40 keys

Seller: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198066921803#!/compare/1565222400/1566000000

Buyer: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198305676157#!/compare/1565913600/1566000000

https://backpack.tf/item/933158534

https://i.imgur.com/sprMCQe.png - bot.tf confirms

X = 40

Sale 6:

Sold to a bot for 30 keys

Seller: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198082759547#!/compare/1566950400/1567036800

Buyer: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198305676157#!/compare/1566950400/1567036800

https://backpack.tf/item/162595800

https://i.imgur.com/sprMCQe.png - bot.tf confirms

X = 30

Marketplace Sales:

https://marketplace.tf/items/tf2/53;5;u9

$109, July 16th

$109, July 17th

https://backpack.tf/item/933158534

https://backpack.tf/item/162595800

Both sales from the same seller.

http://manic.tf/keyprice?at=2019-07-16&price=109 - $109 / $1.82 = 59.89 keys

http://manic.tf/keyprice?at=2019-07-17&price=109 - $109 / $1.82 = 59.89 keys

https://bot.tf/stats/listings/MX37KR6Y - B/O of 56

X = 56 (2x)

Other Sales:

https://backpack.tf/item/933158534 (#1)

#1

Sold with 20 keys for Haunted Ghosts Rotation

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198118586051#!/compare/1559347200/1559433600

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561197992659090#!/compare/1559433600/1559520000

Using on the Rotation.

Sellers:

https://i.imgur.com/P91P47D.png

https://backpack.tf/item/162595800 - ~55.9 keys

https://backpack.tf/item/606980891 - 56 keys

Sales at:

30

40

46 (2x)

48

52

56 (2x)

Keeping 46 in the range, due to the lack of current buyers anywhere near that price, the amount of sales that went to quickbuyers, and due to it being close to what would’ve otherwise been the low-end. Excluding 30 and 40, though. Additionally, a fair amount of the higher sales did end up going back to some of these buy orders.

Going with 46-56.