Suggestion: Molten Mallard Well-Rounded Rifleman at 49–60 keys - backpack.tf

Price Suggestion

~150 keys

mallard

48 votes up

16 votes down

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This suggestion was closed Sat, 19 Oct 19 00:46:52 +0000 by the submitter.

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https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=q38Y5FLK63k

Molten Mallard Well-Rounded Rifleman

Sale #1-

Sold for 43 Keys (looks incomplete)

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198307215279#!/compare/1564963200/1565136000

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198826774298#!/compare/1564876800/1565136000

Sale #2-

Sold for 60 Keys

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198171861038#!/compare/1567123200/1567209600

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198826774298#!/compare/1567036800/1567296000 (used to buy GE tree)

Sale #3-

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198092886071#!/compare/1564531200/1566950400

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198099362855#!/compare/1565395200/1565481600

https://marketplace.tf/items/tf2/30067;5;u88 // https://backpack.tf/item/3268829881

$90 / $1.83 = 49.18 keys

Sale #4-

Sold for Strange Professional Killstreak Gunslinger

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198099362855#!/compare/1566518400/1566604800

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561197994697258#!/compare/1566518400/1566604800

Mini- 37 Keys

https://media.discordapp.net/attachments/298073323219320834/621082892973637632/Screenshot_20190910-224136.jpg?width=150&height=300

Sale #5-

Sold for Cauldron Bubbles Slo-Poke + Holy Grail Taunt: Rock, Paper, Scissors + sweets - Use for range on Slo-Poke

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561197994697258#!/compare/1566777600/1566864000

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198328984748#!/compare/1566777600/1566864000

Sales at 37/43/49/60

About the sale at 43 Keys:

2 day compare on seller.

Buyer looks to have QS the taunt and had already a lot of keys to buy it so it's probably around 50

There's 40 + on buyer leaving and the taunt gets QS but buy orders are at 20+ so some keys also went away from that sale since other patches are below that.

Calling 37 low.

New price 49-60 Keys

I dont see how 37 is low here, it took over 3 weeks to sell.

Even if 43 is incomplete, 37-49 would work much better here. 60 is farther from 49 than 37 is from 43. And excluding 2 sales out of 4 usables isnt a valid representation.

Either 37-49 or this cant be updated.

Look at it that way:

43 is marked as untrace since there's missing stuff.

37 we have no clue how long it was listed for and therefore at what price.

49 was a few week after leaving seller's backpack, still no idea of how long at what price it was listed at.

60 was pure and hasn't resold.

This makes it have sales at 37/49/60.

37 looks low seeing the more pure/cash sales.

I'd make the call of a more conservative drop using these pure ish values avoer the item sell that looks rather low in comparaison.

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198328984748#!/compare/1570233600/1570320000

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198176734455#!/compare/1570233600/1570320000 - New sale at 46 Keys pure