Suggestion: Miami Nights Aviator Assassin at 20–22 keys

Price Suggestion

~16.5 keys

miami

108 votes up

15 votes down

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This suggestion was accepted Thu, 14 Nov 19 12:26:24 +0000 by Vijf Kilo Boter (met voetjes).

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Comments

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=r_rqaeRijfg

Sale #1 - https://marketplace.tf/items/tf2/30404;5;u61 | No idea on the history | No idea on the b/o

$37 / $1.82 = 20.33 keys

Sale #2 - 1 for 1 with dbd baker

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198090944581#!/compare/1564099200/1564185600

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198311291857#!/compare/1564185600/1564272000

Baker mini - https://backpack.tf/suggestion/5d786a4bd3817212540e2891

22 keys

Sale #3 - Untrace

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198189381361#!/compare/1565222400/1565913600

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198337734785#!/compare/1565827200/1565913600

Sale #4 - SCM

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198080179568#!/compare/1565827200/1565913600

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198012150310#!/compare/1565913600/1568160000

Sale #5 - Untrace

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198080179568#!/compare/1566432000/1566518400

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198043936328#!/compare/1566432000/1566518400

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Taking 20 - 22 keys

Sale on Marketplaec.tf 5th October: $62.99 / $1.8 = 34.99 keys

Sale on Marketplaec.tf 4th November: $73 / $1.8 = 40.55 keys

Seems like this may need a wider range based on the above; may be worth checking if there are other new sales though

Will go through while I have time, but given the unsold for 30 @ 2months now, those are clearly high - https://gyazo.com/42d54c5b8faa11c6a64b7f19bf18a69e

New Sales -

Sale #6 - 17 keys

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198294132147#!/compare/1569801600/1569888000

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198097271466#!/compare/1569715200/1569801600

Sale #7 - 22 keys

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198097271466#!/compare/1571097600/1571184000

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198045447325#!/compare/1571011200/1571184000

Sale #8 - Untrace

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198031657211#!/compare/1573084800/1573344000

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198097271466#!/compare/1573257600/1573344000

Sale #9 - Untrace

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198337734785#!/compare/1570060800/1570147200

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198415525729#!/compare/1570060800/1570147200

Sale #10 - Untrace

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198415525729#!/compare/1570060800/1570147200

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198072374854#!/compare/1570060800/1570147200

Sale #11 - Untrace

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198432461884#!/compare/1570147200/1570233600

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198063075911#!/compare/1570147200/1570233600

Depends on where the baker goes, 20 - 22 might still make sense

One of the other untraceables is probably also 17 (same guy from sale 6 bought it in a similar fashion); with 17, 17, 20, 22, 22, 35, 40 Im not opposed to having 2 outliers at both ends here. The mean may be a bit off, but there's nothing between 22 and 35 to set a high end.